MX23RW : Tuesday, December 3 18:38:27| >> :300:86500:86500:
Aberdeen logo
Celtic logo
Dundee logo
Dundee United
Hearts logo
Hibs logo
Kilmarnock logo
Motherwell logo
Rangers logo
Ross County
St Johnstone logo
St Mirren logo
Hearts logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 11
Nov 1, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Livingston logo

Hearts
1 - 0
Livingston

Vargas (79')
Baningime (40'), Devlin (44')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Holt (63'), Holt (64+64'), Shinnie (77'), Anderson (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Livingston, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rangers 2-1 Hearts
Sunday, October 29 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Livingston 0-2 Dundee
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hearts 1-1 Livingston

Neither of these two teams have been playing with much confidence as of late, and that is something that will likely be reflected in the game itself on Wednesday night. It is likely going to be a cagey affair considering the fact Livingston and Hearts each require points, and that could lead to them playing out to a draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 49.06%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Livingston win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawLivingston
49.06% (-0.359 -0.36) 23.39% (0.060000000000002 0.06) 27.56% (0.301 0.3)
Both teams to score 59.48% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.3% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)41.7% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.9% (-0.055 -0.05)64.1% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.83% (-0.152 -0.15)17.17% (0.155 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.57% (-0.273 -0.27)47.43% (0.275 0.27)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.81% (0.18700000000001 0.19)28.19% (-0.186 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.11% (0.237 0.24)63.89% (-0.235 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 49.06%
    Livingston 27.56%
    Draw 23.39%
HeartsDrawLivingston
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.53% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.51% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.59% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.41% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.54% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.46% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.94% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.56% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 4%
Total : 49.06%
1-1 @ 10.8% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.02% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.84% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.49% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.39%
1-2 @ 6.84% (0.053 0.05)
0-1 @ 6.13% (0.047 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.88% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.89% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.54% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.64% (0.03 0.03)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 27.56%

How you voted: Hearts vs Livingston

Hearts
73.7%
Draw
21.1%
Livingston
5.3%
19
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2023 1.30pm
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Hearts
1-1
Livingston
Ginnelly (90+7')
Kelly (55')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Livingston
1-0
Hearts
Montano (28')
Omeonga (23'), Holt (34'), Pittman (68'), Nouble (90+3')

Devlin (52'), Shankland (65')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 31
Hearts
2-0
Livingston
Baningime (3'), McKay (58')

Omeonga (37'), Nouble (84'), Holt (90+1'), Devlin (90+3')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Fifth Round
Hearts
0-0
Livingston
Hearts win 4-3 on penalties
Devlin (67'), Gordon (118')
Penrice (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1312104043637
2Aberdeen14103129161333
3RangersRangers13823189926
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd146532114723
5Motherwell136161619-319
6St Mirren155371925-618
7Dundee144462326-316
8Ross County153661227-1515
9St Johnstone1541101728-1113
10Kilmarnock143471627-1113
11Hibernian152671825-712
12Hearts152491625-910


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