Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 47%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.65%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 2-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.
Result | ||
Luton Town | Draw | Fulham |
30.55% ( 1.15) | 22.46% ( 0.46) | 47% ( -1.62) |
Both teams to score 65.05% ( -0.96) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.71% ( -1.58) | 35.29% ( 1.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.69% ( -1.77) | 57.31% ( 1.77) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.99% ( -0.09) | 23.01% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.18% ( -0.14) | 56.82% ( 0.14) |
Fulham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.49% ( -1.15) | 15.51% ( 1.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.58% ( -2.18) | 44.42% ( 2.17) |
Score Analysis |
Luton Town | Draw | Fulham |
2-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.25) 1-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.39) 2-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.1% Total : 30.55% | 1-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.28) 3-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.46% | 1-2 @ 9.11% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 6.2% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.66% ( -0.25) 2-3 @ 4.16% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 2.64% ( -0.23) 2-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.17) 0-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.15) 1-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.13) 3-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.08% Total : 47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 28 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 23 |
3 | Chelsea | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 22 |
4 | Arsenal | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 22 |
5 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 22 |
6 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 13 | 14 | 19 |
7 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Aston Villa | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
9 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
10 | Fulham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
11 | Brentford | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 17 |
12 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Bournemouth | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 15 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
15 | Everton | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 11 |
16 | Leicester CityLeicester | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 10 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 9 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
20 | Southampton | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 4 |
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