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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 30, 2024 at 8pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
QPR logo

Luton
1 - 2
QPR

Dunne (18' og.)
Chong (2'), Doughty (48'), Clark (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Madsen (59'), Frey (62')
Cook (30'), Field (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 1-1 Luton (4-1 pen.)
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: Luton Town 2-1 Queens Park Rangers

Luton will welcome the opportunity to return back to Kenilworth Road given their recent schedule and we feel that it could prove pivotal to the end result. QPR will pose a threat against the Hatters, yet the home side could come through with a hard-fought win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 35.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawQueens Park Rangers
35.8% (0.233 0.23) 26.1% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02) 38.09% (-0.215 -0.22)
Both teams to score 53.83% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.34% (0.104 0.1)50.66% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.43% (0.091999999999999 0.09)72.56% (-0.094000000000008 -0.09)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.72% (0.188 0.19)27.28% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.28% (0.246 0.25)62.71% (-0.25 -0.25)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.03% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)25.97% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.02% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)60.98% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 35.8%
    Queens Park Rangers 38.09%
    Draw 26.1%
Luton TownDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 9.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.06% (0.036 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.98% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.49% (0.034 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.59% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.35% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.13% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3%
Total : 35.8%
1-1 @ 12.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.08% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.43% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 9.55% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 8.36% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.44% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.76% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.89% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.44% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 38.09%

How you voted: Luton vs QPR

Luton Town
62.6%
Draw
14.2%
Queens Park Rangers
23.2%
155
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2024 7.45pm
Second Round
QPR
1-1
Luton
(Aggregate 1-1 | QPR win 4-1 on penalties)
Santos (11')
Santos (33'), Colback (49'), Celar (84')
Nelson (16')
Walters (40'), Morris (72')
Dec 29, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 25
QPR
0-3
Luton
Morris (10', 47'), Doughty (81')
Oct 15, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 15
Luton
3-1
QPR
Adebayo (18'), Dunne (77' og.), Freeman (90+3')
Horvath (90+1' og.)
Mar 13, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 37
Luton
1-2
QPR
Jerome (37')
Gray (55' pen.), Dickie (83')
Chair (45+4'), Amos (87'), Wallace (90+5')
Nov 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
QPR
2-0
Luton
Willock (10'), Austin (55')
Dozzell (59'), Austin (75'), Dickie (90')

Lansbury (13'), Bradley (54'), Adebayo (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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