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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 35.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.
Result | ||
Luton Town | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
35.8% ( 0.23) | 26.1% ( -0.02) | 38.09% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 53.83% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.34% ( 0.1) | 50.66% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.43% ( 0.09) | 72.56% ( -0.09) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.72% ( 0.19) | 27.28% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.28% ( 0.25) | 62.71% ( -0.25) |
Queens Park Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.03% ( -0.07) | 25.97% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.02% ( -0.09) | 60.98% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Luton Town | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
1-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.02) Other @ 3% Total : 35.8% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 38.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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