FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 6, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Gallagher Stadium
Maidstone1 - 0Stevenage
We said: Maidstone United 1-2 Stevenage
Maidstone's form in this season's FA Cup has been excellent, but this will be their biggest test of the campaign, and although we are predicting a close match, Stevenage should be able to navigate their way into the fourth round of the competition. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 54.64%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Maidstone United had a probability of 20.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.34%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Maidstone United win it was 1-0 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Maidstone United | Draw | Stevenage |
20.99% ( -0.01) | 24.36% ( -0) | 54.64% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.06% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
