MX23RW : Monday, January 27 19:36:09| >> :300:86500:86500:
Liga MX | 1st Leg
Nov 28, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Azteca

America
2 - 0
Toluca

Aguirre (67', 82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Violante (21')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club America and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club America

All competitions
Last Game: Tijuana 2-2 America (2-3 pen.)
Friday, November 22 at 3am in Liga MX
Next Game: Toluca vs. America
Friday, November 29 at 11pm in Liga MX

Toluca

All competitions
Last Game: Toluca 4-0 America
Sunday, November 10 at 1am in Liga MX
Next Game: Toluca vs. America
Friday, November 29 at 11pm in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 57.69%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 20.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.

Result
Club AmericaDrawToluca
57.69% (0.38 0.38) 22.19% (-0.133 -0.13) 20.11% (-0.242 -0.24)
Both teams to score 54.53% (0.062000000000005 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.92% (0.271 0.27)44.08% (-0.266 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.53% (0.262 0.26)66.46% (-0.258 -0.26)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.98% (0.218 0.22)15.01% (-0.214 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.51% (0.407 0.41)43.48% (-0.40300000000001 -0.4)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.16% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)35.84% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.38% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)72.61% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Club America 57.69%
    Toluca 20.11%
    Draw 22.19%
Club AmericaDrawToluca
1-0 @ 10.2% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.67% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.27% (0.053 0.05)
3-0 @ 6.11% (0.067 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.22% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.97% (0.047 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.9% (0.053 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.53% (0.02 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.13% (0.026 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.1% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 57.69%
1-1 @ 10.47% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.38% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.19%
0-1 @ 5.52% (-0.079 -0.08)
1-2 @ 5.37% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.83% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.84% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 20.11%

Head to Head
Nov 10, 2024 1am
Gameweek 17
Toluca
4-0
America
Gallardo (9'), Angulo (58'), Paulinho (72'), Garcia (77')
Baeza (35')
Apr 14, 2024 2.05am
Gameweek 15
America
5-1
Toluca
Valdes (9', 24'), Martin (15'), Quinones (73', 82')
Calderon (19'), Lichnovsky (50'), Fidalgo (90+2'), Quinones (90+2')
Dominguez (14')
Escobar (49'), Ruiz (90+2')
Sep 24, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 9
Toluca
1-1
America
Araujo (54')
Huerta (44')
Belmonte (84')
Valdes (25')
Jan 15, 2023 1.05am
Gameweek 2
Toluca
2-2
America
Gonzalez (8'), Orrantia (23')
Rodriguez (16'), Martin (76' pen.)
Oct 23, 2022 2.06am
America
1-1
Toluca
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul17133139122742
2TolucaToluca17105238162235
3Tigres17104325151034
4PumasPumas179442113831
5MonterreyMonterrey179442619731
6Atletico San Luis179352719830
7Club TijuanaTijuana178542425-129
8Club AmericaAmerica178362721627
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara177462415925
10Atlas175751723-622
11Club Leon173952123-218
12Juarez1752102236-1417
13NecaxaNecaxa173682026-615
14MazatlanMazatlan172871019-914
15PueblaPuebla1742111731-1414
16PachucaPachuca1734102029-913
17QueretaroQueretaro1733111331-1812
18Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1724111230-1810
> Liga MX Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!