Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 75.26%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 10.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 3-1 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.1%), while for a West Ham United win it was 1-2 (3.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.