Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 70.69%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 12.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 1-0 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.82%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-2 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.