We said: Mansfield Town 2-0 Crawley Town
Mansfield may have lost their last three competitive matches, but they have won two of their previous three home league matches, and we think that they will make full use of home advantage to claim all three points on Tuesday, especially as Crawley have lost four of their last five away matches.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 51.22%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 25.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.