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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 61.49%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 19.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.03%) and 3-1 (7.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.47%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 1-2 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mansfield Town | Draw | Crawley Town |
61.49% ( -0.01) | 19.43% ( 0) | 19.08% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 62.63% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.35% ( -0) | 32.65% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.68% ( -0) | 54.32% ( -0) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.68% ( -0) | 10.32% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.24% ( -0.01) | 33.76% ( 0) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.84% ( 0.01) | 30.16% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.68% ( 0.01) | 66.31% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Mansfield Town | Draw | Crawley Town |
2-1 @ 9.62% 2-0 @ 8.03% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.28% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.07% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.08% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.37% 4-1 @ 4.14% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.45% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.48% 5-1 @ 1.88% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.57% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.13% 4-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.43% Total : 61.49% | 1-1 @ 8.47% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.11% 3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0) Other @ 0.33% Total : 19.43% | 1-2 @ 5.08% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.73% 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.24% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0) Other @ 3.7% Total : 19.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
14 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
15 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
16 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 19 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |