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Crawley Town
League One | Gameweek 21
Dec 23, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Birmingham logo

Crawley
0 - 1
Birmingham


John-Jules (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Stansfield (79')
Klarer (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Crawley Town and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Peterborough 4-3 Crawley
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League One

We said: Crawley Town 1-3 Birmingham City

Birmingham will be full of confidence after winning each of their last six competitive matches, and as one of the strongest teams in the division, we think that they will claim a relatively comfortable win against Crawley to move to the top of the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 68.54%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 13.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 2-1 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawBirmingham City
13.7% (-0.694 -0.69) 17.76% (0.246 0.25) 68.54% (0.449 0.45)
Both teams to score 56.04% (-3.038 -3.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.65% (-2.929 -2.93)35.34% (2.93 2.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.62% (-3.324 -3.32)57.37% (3.325 3.33)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.84% (-2.876 -2.88)38.15% (2.878 2.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.08% (-2.882 -2.88)74.92% (2.883 2.88)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.61% (-0.667 -0.67)9.38% (0.668 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.42% (-1.604 -1.6)31.58% (1.605 1.61)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 13.7%
    Birmingham City 68.54%
    Draw 17.76%
Crawley TownDrawBirmingham City
2-1 @ 3.93% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-0 @ 3.45% (0.246 0.25)
2-0 @ 1.66% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.49% (-0.232 -0.23)
3-1 @ 1.26% (-0.151 -0.15)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 13.7%
1-1 @ 8.16% (0.346 0.35)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.316 -0.32)
0-0 @ 3.58% (0.505 0.51)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.225 -0.23)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 17.76%
0-2 @ 10.02% (0.868 0.87)
1-2 @ 9.66% (0.121 0.12)
0-1 @ 8.47% (0.969 0.97)
0-3 @ 7.91% (0.461 0.46)
1-3 @ 7.62% (-0.139 -0.14)
0-4 @ 4.68% (0.135 0.14)
1-4 @ 4.51% (-0.226 -0.23)
2-3 @ 3.67% (-0.371 -0.37)
0-5 @ 2.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 2.17% (-0.295 -0.3)
1-5 @ 2.13% (-0.177 -0.18)
2-5 @ 1.03% (-0.175 -0.18)
Other @ 4.47%
Total : 68.54%

How you voted: Crawley vs Birmingham

Crawley Town
11.1%
Draw
10.0%
Birmingham City
78.9%
90
Head to Head
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Birmingham
5-1
Crawley
Adams (27', 42', 66'), Davis (38'), Tesche (49')
Camara (86')
Payne (43'), Clifford (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton2511593839-138
10Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
11Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
12Charlton AthleticCharlton249782925434
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Blackpool2571083437-331
15Stevenage248791922-331
16Exeter CityExeter2594122832-431
17Wigan AthleticWigan2486102324-130
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2575134146-526
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
24Burton Albion2529142139-1815


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