Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 54.94%. A win for Reims had a probability of 22.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Reims win was 1-2 (5.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Reims |
54.94% ( -0.45) | 22.4% ( 0.14) | 22.65% ( 0.31) |
Both teams to score 57.59% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.2% ( -0.25) | 41.8% ( 0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.8% ( -0.25) | 64.2% ( 0.25) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.86% ( -0.23) | 15.13% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.29% ( -0.44) | 43.71% ( 0.44) |
Reims Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.86% ( 0.14) | 32.13% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.38% ( 0.16) | 68.62% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Reims |
2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.84% Total : 54.94% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.4% | 1-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.54% Total : 22.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 22 |
5 | Nice | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 20 |
6 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
7 | Auxerre | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
9 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Le HavreLe Havre | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 12 |
15 | Rennes | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 11 |
16 | NantesNantes | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
17 | Angers | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |