Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Marseille win with a probability of 67.63%. A draw has a probability of 18.5% and a win for Lorient has a probability of 13.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.77%) and 1-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.64%), while for a Lorient win it is 1-2 (3.98%).
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Lorient |
67.63% ( -3.05) | 18.48% ( 1.41) | 13.89% ( 1.63) |
Both teams to score 53.87% ( -0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.6% ( -2.77) | 38.4% ( 2.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.31% ( -3) | 60.69% ( 2.99) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.57% ( -1.46) | 10.43% ( 1.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66% ( -3.41) | 34.01% ( 3.41) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.14% ( 0.64) | 39.86% ( -0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.48% ( 0.58) | 76.52% ( -0.58) |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Lorient |
2-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.64) 3-0 @ 8% ( -0.48) 3-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.31) 4-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.59) 4-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.47) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.42) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.18) 5-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.35) Other @ 4.57% Total : 67.63% | 1-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.73) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.53) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 18.48% | 1-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.4) 0-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.54) 0-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.28) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.14) Other @ 1.74% Total : 13.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |