MX23RW : Monday, January 20 23:18:48| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 29
Apr 24, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Nice

Marseille
2 - 2
Nice

Clauss (31'), Aubameyang (56' pen.)
Moumbagna (22')
Moumbagna (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Moffi (13'), Bard (72')
Moffi (11'), Cho (54'), Sanson (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nice 3-0 Lorient
Friday, April 19 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 1-1 Nice

Marseille have been on a poor run but they remain solid on home soil, only behind two sides for points won at home. Nice have been inconsistent in the past two months and have not looked like the same side that started the league. Considering these factors, we think that this will be a close affair and we are expecting a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 48.56%. A win for Nice had a probability of 26.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawNice
48.56% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 24.84% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 26.59% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.78% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.17% (0.034999999999997 0.03)48.83% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.07% (0.032 0.03)70.93% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.86% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)20.14% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.58% (0.018000000000001 0.02)52.41% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.35% (0.02600000000001 0.03)32.65% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.81% (0.033000000000001 0.03)69.19% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 48.56%
    Nice 26.59%
    Draw 24.84%
MarseilleDrawNice
1-0 @ 10.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.45%
2-0 @ 8.44% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.81%
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 48.56%
1-1 @ 11.79%
0-0 @ 6.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.84%
0-1 @ 7.36% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.6% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 4.12% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 26.59%

How you voted: Marseille vs Nice

Marseille
59.3%
Draw
25.6%
Nice
15.1%
86
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 9
Nice
1-0
Marseille
Guessand (79')
Dante (16'), Boga (24'), Boudaoui (56'), Moffi (79')

Balerdi (75'), Murillo (90+6')
Balerdi (78')
Feb 5, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Marseille
1-3
Nice
Diop (38'), Laborde (44'), Brahimi (85')
Aug 28, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 4
Nice
0-3
Marseille

Beka Beka (57')
Sanchez (10', 42'), Tavares (37')
Tavares (71')
Mar 20, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Marseille
2-1
Nice
Milik (45+3' pen.), Bakambu (89')
Caleta-Car (60'), Saliba (90+1')
Lemina (90+1')
Bard (45'), Lemina (90+2')
Feb 9, 2022 8.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Nice
4-1
Marseille
Gouiri (10'), Kluivert (29', 49'), Delort (61')
Kluivert (32'), Daniliuc (90')
Bard (3' og.)
Sampaoli (34'), Balerdi (40')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG18144048163246
2Marseille18114340211937
3Lille1888228171132
4MonacoMonaco189452920931
5Nice1886436251130
6Lyon188552922729
7Lens187652218427
8Toulouse187471919025
9Brest188192831-325
10StrasbourgStrasbourg186663130124
11Auxerre186482428-422
12Angers186482127-622
13Reims185672426-221
14Rennes1852112427-317
15NantesNantes183872128-717
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1852111738-2117
17Le HavreLe Havre1841131437-2313
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1833121843-2512


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