Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 48.56%. A win for Nice had a probability of 26.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Nice |
48.56% ( -0.01) | 24.84% ( -0.01) | 26.59% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 53.78% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.17% ( 0.03) | 48.83% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.07% ( 0.03) | 70.93% ( -0.04) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.86% ( 0.01) | 20.14% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.58% ( 0.02) | 52.41% ( -0.02) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.35% ( 0.03) | 32.65% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.81% ( 0.03) | 69.19% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Nice |
1-0 @ 10.53% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.45% 2-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.05% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.51% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.81% 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 48.56% | 1-1 @ 11.79% 0-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.84% | 0-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.12% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( 0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 26.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 18 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 48 | 16 | 32 | 46 |
2 | Marseille | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 37 |
3 | Lille | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 32 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 |
5 | Nice | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Lyon | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
7 | Lens | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Brest | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 25 |
10 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 24 |
11 | Auxerre | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Angers | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
13 | Reims | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 21 |
14 | Rennes | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 38 | -21 | 17 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 13 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 43 | -25 | 12 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |