Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
44.27% ( 0.73) | 24.3% ( -0.02) | 31.43% ( -0.71) |
Both teams to score 58.83% ( -0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.34% ( -0.18) | 43.66% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.95% ( -0.17) | 66.05% ( 0.18) |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.12% ( 0.25) | 19.88% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.01% ( 0.4) | 51.99% ( -0.39) |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.43% ( -0.53) | 26.58% ( 0.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.21% ( -0.7) | 61.79% ( 0.71) |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.01% Total : 44.27% | 1-1 @ 11.3% 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.29% | 1-2 @ 7.49% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 7% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.17% Total : 31.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 12 |
2 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
3 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
4 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
5 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
7 | Macarthur | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
8 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
9 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 |
10 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 16 | -14 | 1 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 0 |
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