Friendlies 1
Sep 8, 2024 at 2am UK
Soldier Field
Mexico3 - 0New Zealand
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mexico 0-0 Ecuador
Monday, July 1 at 1am in Copa America
Monday, July 1 at 1am in Copa America
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Venezuela | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mexico | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Jamaica | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Last Game: New Zealand 0-0 Tunisia (2-4 pen.)
Tuesday, March 26 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, March 26 at 8pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Mexico | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Russia | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | New Zealand | 3 | -7 | 0 |
We said: Mexico 1-0 New Zealand
New Zealand have not faced any formidable opponents in quite some time, and we expect to see a rejuvenated Mexican squad keen to impress their new coach, eventually find a way to break them down. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 51.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for New Zealand had a probability of 23.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a New Zealand win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mexico | Draw | New Zealand |
51.76% ( -0.21) | 25.09% ( 0.18) | 23.15% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 49.63% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
