MX23RW : Thursday, January 2 13:11:54| >> :60:159:159:
Mexico national football team
Friendlies 1
Sep 8, 2024 at 2am UK
Soldier Field
New Zealand national football team

Mexico
3 - 0
New Zealand

Pineda (5'), Huerta (53'), Romo (57')
Vasquez (74'), Chavez (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Smith (75'), Stamenic (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's friendly clash between Mexico and New Zealand, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 0-0 Ecuador
Monday, July 1 at 1am in Copa America

New Zealand

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: New Zealand 0-0 Tunisia (2-4 pen.)
Tuesday, March 26 at 8pm in International Friendlies

We said: Mexico 1-0 New Zealand

 New Zealand have not faced any formidable opponents in quite some time, and we expect to see a rejuvenated Mexican squad keen to impress their new coach, eventually find a way to break them down. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 51.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for New Zealand had a probability of 23.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a New Zealand win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.

Result
MexicoDrawNew Zealand
51.76% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21) 25.09% (0.183 0.18) 23.15% (0.031000000000002 0.03)
Both teams to score 49.63% (-0.493 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.35% (-0.67 -0.67)52.65% (0.674 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.7% (-0.575 -0.57)74.3% (0.58 0.58)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.66% (-0.348 -0.35)20.34% (0.352 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.27% (-0.561 -0.56)52.73% (0.566 0.57)
New Zealand Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.3% (-0.343 -0.34)37.7% (0.347 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.52% (-0.337 -0.34)74.48% (0.342 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Mexico 51.75%
    New Zealand 23.15%
    Draw 25.09%
MexicoDrawNew Zealand
1-0 @ 12.21% (0.19 0.19)
2-0 @ 9.73% (0.046999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.16% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.04% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.06% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.01% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 51.75%
1-1 @ 11.91% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 7.67% (0.202 0.2)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.065 -0.06)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 7.48% (0.129 0.13)
1-2 @ 5.81% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.65% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.89% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 23.15%

How you voted: Mexico vs New Zealand

Mexico
90.5%
Draw
4.1%
New Zealand
5.4%
74
Head to Head
Jun 21, 2017 7pm
Group Stage
Mexico
2-1
New Zealand
Jimenez (54'), Peralta (72')
Reyes (95')
Wood (42')
Thomas (26'), Boxall (96')
Nov 13, 2013 7.30pm
Qualifiers
Mexico
5-1
New Zealand
Aguilar (32'), Jimenez (40'), Peralta (48', 80'), Marquez (84')
James (85')
Wood (16'), Vicelich (57'), Durante (71'), Bertos (76'), James (89')
> Match Report
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1Liverpool18143145172845
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5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle1995532211132
6Manchester CityMan City199463226631
7Bournemouth198652923630
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9Aston Villa198562831-329
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton196942928127
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1973941281324
12Brentford197393335-224
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham196582335-1223
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd196492126-522
15Crystal Palace194872027-720
16Everton183871524-917
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1944113142-1116
18Ipswich TownIpswich1936101833-1515
19Leicester CityLeicester1935112242-2014
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> Premier League Full Table


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