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Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 4, 2025 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Middlesbrough
1 - 1
Cardiff

Latte Lath (12')
Doak (75'), Barlaser (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Chambers (21')
O'Dowda (30'), Rinomhota (76'), Robertson (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 0-1 Middlesbrough
Wednesday, January 1 at 5.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Coventry
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 2-0 Cardiff City

Although Middlesbrough are in the midst of an injury crisis, they have been difficult to beat in recent weeks, and it is hard to see them losing against Cardiff. Additionally, the visitors' record on the road is poor, and it would not be surprising if their defensive frailty was once again exposed on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 55.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 20.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawCardiff City
55.79% (-0.261 -0.26) 23.41% (0.056999999999999 0.06) 20.81% (0.204 0.2)
Both teams to score 51.68% (0.127 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.6% (0.014000000000003 0.01)48.4% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.46% (0.015000000000001 0.02)70.54% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.82% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)17.18% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.56% (-0.156 -0.16)47.44% (0.155 0.16)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.39% (0.218 0.22)37.61% (-0.219 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.62% (0.211 0.21)74.39% (-0.21199999999999 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 55.78%
    Cardiff City 20.81%
    Draw 23.41%
MiddlesbroughDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 11.38% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 10.02% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.88% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.76% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.81% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.59% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.53% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 55.78%
1-1 @ 11.13% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.46% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.79% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.41%
0-1 @ 6.32% (0.034 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.44% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.09% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.78% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.56% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.01% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 20.81%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Cardiff

Middlesbrough
83.3%
Draw
12.5%
Cardiff City
4.2%
48
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 4
Cardiff
0-2
Middlesbrough

Siopis (5'), Daland (39')
Clarke (55'), Ramsey (82' og.)
Morris (69')
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 45
Cardiff
1-4
Middlesbrough
Bowler (90+1')
Clarke (45'), Azaz (49'), Latte Lath (56'), Gilbert (60')
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Middlesbrough
2-0
Cardiff
Jones (56'), Latte Lath (84')
Greenwood (75')

Grant (32'), Ng (36'), Goutas (80')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Cardiff
1-3
Middlesbrough
Kaba (25')
Forss (17'), Archer (38'), McGree (90')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Middlesbrough
2-3
Cardiff
Watmore (76'), Muniz (77')
O'Dowda (4'), Harris (20'), Ng (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd27176438172155
3Burnley27141123192253
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2712693124742
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27914433221141
7Middlesbrough27118844341041
8Watford27125103837141
9Bristol City2791083331237
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
11Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Coventry CityCoventry2788113537-232
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2788113041-1132
16Preston North EndPreston2761382834-631
17Millwall2679102424030
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Derby CountyDerby2776143137-627
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2775152744-1726
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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