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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 55.91%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 22.74% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.92%) and 0-1 (7.81%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Middlesbrough |
22.74% ( -0.44) | 21.36% ( -0.13) | 55.91% ( 0.58) |
Both teams to score 61.43% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.21% ( 0.12) | 36.8% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.04% ( 0.13) | 58.97% ( -0.13) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.72% ( -0.3) | 29.28% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.76% ( -0.37) | 65.24% ( 0.37) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.86% ( 0.22) | 13.14% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.19% ( 0.43) | 39.81% ( -0.43) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Middlesbrough |
2-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.17% Total : 22.74% | 1-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.36% | 1-2 @ 9.73% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.92% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 6.58% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 5.36% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 4.04% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 3.34% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 2.72% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 2.05% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.36% ( 0.03) 0-5 @ 1.1% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.88% Total : 55.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 52 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 47 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 39 |
8 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
9 | Watford | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
14 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
16 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 28 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 25 |
21 | Portsmouth | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 23 |
22 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 20 |
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