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Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Cardiff
0 - 2
Middlesbrough


Siopis (5'), Daland (39')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Clarke (55'), Ramsey (82' og.)
Morris (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Cardiff City 1-3 Middlesbrough

On the back of a morale-boosting showing against Southampton, Cardiff will be optimistic about overcoming Boro on Saturday. Nevertheless, we feel that the visitors will shake off their humbling in midweek and post a convincing victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.91%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 2-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawMiddlesbrough
27.03% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 24.06% (0.00099999999999767 0) 48.91% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.71% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)45.15% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.51% (0.0049999999999955 0)67.49% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.63% (0.018000000000001 0.02)30.37% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.43% (0.019999999999996 0.02)66.57% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)18.55% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.2% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)49.8% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 27.03%
    Middlesbrough 48.91%
    Draw 24.06%
Cardiff CityDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 6.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 6.71% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 1.59% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 27.03%
1-1 @ 11.31%
2-2 @ 5.68% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.63% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.27% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.06%
1-2 @ 9.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 9.49% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 8% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 5.35% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 4.49% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-3 @ 3.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 2.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.89% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 48.91%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Middlesbrough

Cardiff City
33.3%
Draw
14.3%
Middlesbrough
52.4%
42
Head to Head
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 45
Cardiff
1-4
Middlesbrough
Bowler (90+1')
Clarke (45'), Azaz (49'), Latte Lath (56'), Gilbert (60')
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Middlesbrough
2-0
Cardiff
Jones (56'), Latte Lath (84')
Greenwood (75')

Grant (32'), Ng (36'), Goutas (80')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Cardiff
1-3
Middlesbrough
Kaba (25')
Forss (17'), Archer (38'), McGree (90')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Middlesbrough
2-3
Cardiff
Watmore (76'), Muniz (77')
O'Dowda (4'), Harris (20'), Ng (45')
Apr 27, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 39
Middlesbrough
2-0
Cardiff
Tavernier (28'), McGree (53')
Jones (88'), Howson (90')

Nelson (27'), Wintle (33'), Denham (62'), Vaulks (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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