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Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Cardiff
0 - 2
Middlesbrough


Siopis (5'), Daland (39')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Clarke (55'), Ramsey (82' og.)
Morris (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Cardiff City 1-3 Middlesbrough

On the back of a morale-boosting showing against Southampton, Cardiff will be optimistic about overcoming Boro on Saturday. Nevertheless, we feel that the visitors will shake off their humbling in midweek and post a convincing victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.91%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 2-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawMiddlesbrough
27.03% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 24.06% (0.00099999999999767 0) 48.91% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.71% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)45.15% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.51% (0.0049999999999955 0)67.49% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.63% (0.018000000000001 0.02)30.37% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.43% (0.019999999999996 0.02)66.57% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)18.55% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.2% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)49.8% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 27.03%
    Middlesbrough 48.91%
    Draw 24.06%
Cardiff CityDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 6.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 6.71% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 1.59% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 27.03%
1-1 @ 11.31%
2-2 @ 5.68% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.63% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.27% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.06%
1-2 @ 9.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 9.49% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 8% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 5.35% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 4.49% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-3 @ 3.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 2.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.89% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 48.91%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Middlesbrough

Cardiff City
33.3%
Draw
14.3%
Middlesbrough
52.4%
42
Head to Head
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 45
Cardiff
1-4
Middlesbrough
Bowler (90+1')
Clarke (45'), Azaz (49'), Latte Lath (56'), Gilbert (60')
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Middlesbrough
2-0
Cardiff
Jones (56'), Latte Lath (84')
Greenwood (75')

Grant (32'), Ng (36'), Goutas (80')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Cardiff
1-3
Middlesbrough
Kaba (25')
Forss (17'), Archer (38'), McGree (90')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Middlesbrough
2-3
Cardiff
Watmore (76'), Muniz (77')
O'Dowda (4'), Harris (20'), Ng (45')
Apr 27, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 39
Middlesbrough
2-0
Cardiff
Tavernier (28'), McGree (53')
Jones (88'), Howson (90')

Nelson (27'), Wintle (33'), Denham (62'), Vaulks (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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