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Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Millwall logo

Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Millwall

Latte Lath (10')
Latte Lath (37'), Dijksteel (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tanganga (54'), Mitchell (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 3-1 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, December 10 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Sheff Utd
Wednesday, December 11 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 1-1 Millwall

Millwall will want to end the Harris era on a high and will move to within three points of Middlesbrough in the standings if they win at the Riverside Stadium this weekend. Although Millwall will be motivated to get the three points, we think that this game ends in a draw - the visitors have more draws than wins so far this season and they are capable of getting a point on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.95%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 24.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Middlesbrough in this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawMillwall
48.95% (0.019000000000005 0.02) 26.21% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 24.83% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 48.11% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.49% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)55.52% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.31% (-0.058 -0.06)76.69% (0.064000000000007 0.06)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.28% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)22.72% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.61% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)56.39% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.25% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)37.76% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.47% (-0.067 -0.07)74.53% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 48.95%
    Millwall 24.83%
    Draw 26.21%
MiddlesbroughDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 12.71% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.42% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.18% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 4.65% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.72%
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 48.95%
1-1 @ 12.38% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.58% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 8.36% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.07% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.96% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 24.83%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Millwall

Middlesbrough
76.3%
Draw
21.1%
Millwall
2.6%
38
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 27
Millwall
1-3
Middlesbrough
Bryan (10')
Honeyman (45+4'), Longman (51'), Bryan (80')
Engel (38'), Jones (58'), Forss (90+5')
Engel (66')
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Middlesbrough
0-1
Millwall

Howson (80')
Esse (79')
Bryan (25'), Nisbet (46'), Cooper (80')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 37
Millwall
0-0
Middlesbrough
Cooper (4'), Ballard (16'), Malone (19'), Wallace (34')
Jones (19')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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