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Championship header 2

Championship
Middlesbrough logo
Championship | Gameweek 10
Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Middlesbrough
2 - 0
Cardiff

Jones (56'), Latte Lath (84')
Greenwood (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Grant (32'), Ng (36'), Goutas (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Watford 2-3 Middlesbrough
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Championship

Cardiff City

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 2-0 Rotherham
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 2-2 Cardiff City

 Middlesbrough's newfound mettle will be put to the test and then some on Tuesday night, and Carrick's backline are unlikely to walk away unscathed, especially with their ongoing crisis on the left-hand side. However, Cardiff have also been prone to defensive collapses on rival turf this season, and an entertaining draw could prolong the feel-good factor around the Riverside Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 56.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 21.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 1-2 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawCardiff City
56.82% (0.108 0.11) 22.12% (-0.216 -0.22) 21.05% (0.103 0.1)
Both teams to score 56.24% (0.884 0.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.48% (1.098 1.1)42.51% (-1.103 -1.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.08% (1.085 1.09)64.92% (-1.092 -1.09)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.23% (0.40600000000001 0.41)14.77% (-0.411 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.99% (0.778 0.78)43.01% (-0.783 -0.78)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.98% (0.723 0.72)34.01% (-0.728 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.3% (0.775 0.78)70.69% (-0.78 -0.78)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 56.82%
    Cardiff City 21.05%
    Draw 22.12%
MiddlesbroughDrawCardiff City
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 9.61% (-0.334 -0.33)
2-0 @ 9.19% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-1 @ 6.32% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
3-0 @ 5.86% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.41% (0.115 0.12)
4-1 @ 3.02% (0.086 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.8% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.63% (0.078 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.16% (0.049 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.07% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 56.82%
1-1 @ 10.36% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.106 0.11)
0-0 @ 5.02% (-0.251 -0.25)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.12%
1-2 @ 5.59% (0.03 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.42% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-2 @ 2.92% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.01% (0.05 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.075 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.05% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 21.05%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Cardiff

Middlesbrough
50.0%
Draw
17.6%
Cardiff City
32.4%
34
Head to Head
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Kaba (25')
Forss (17'), Archer (38'), McGree (90')
> Preview
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
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Cardiff
Watmore (76'), Muniz (77')
O'Dowda (4'), Harris (20'), Ng (45')
> Preview
Apr 27, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 39
Middlesbrough
2-0
Cardiff
Tavernier (28'), McGree (53')
Jones (88'), Howson (90')

Nelson (27'), Wintle (33'), Denham (62'), Vaulks (90')
> Preview
Oct 23, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 14
Cardiff
0-2
Middlesbrough

Pack (28'), McGuinness (34'), Flint (70')
Sporar (35' pen.), Payero (74')
Ikpeazu (38')
> Preview
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 33
Middlesbrough
1-1
Cardiff
McNair (82')
Morrison (37')
Vaulks (30'), Bennett (57'), Ng (59')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920
> Championship Full Table


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