Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 51.18%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 24.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.