MX23RW : Monday, September 9 09:19:28| >> :60:210:210:
Middlesbrough logo
Club Friendlies 3
Aug 3, 2024 at 2pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Heerenveen

Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Heerenveen

Burgzorg (90+2' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Middlesbrough and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Harrogate 0-0 Middlesbrough
Wednesday, July 31 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Heerenveen 5-0 Rayo Vallecano
Friday, July 26 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Middlesbrough 2-2 Heerenveen

Both teams have performed well in their pre-season fixtures, scoring plenty of goals, and they appear evenly matched heading into this one, suggesting it could end in a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 46.4%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.02%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawHeerenveen
46.4% (-0.346 -0.35) 22.82% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 30.78% (0.355 0.36)
Both teams to score 63.81% (0.228 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.04% (0.215 0.22)36.96% (-0.207 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.85% (0.231 0.23)59.15% (-0.223 -0.22)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.63% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)16.37% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)46% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.3% (0.318 0.32)23.7% (-0.311 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.19% (0.45500000000001 0.46)57.82% (-0.448 -0.45)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 46.4%
    Heerenveen 30.78%
    Draw 22.82%
MiddlesbroughDrawHeerenveen
2-1 @ 9.15% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.02% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-0 @ 6.35% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.52% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.97% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.83% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.5% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.8% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.73% (-0.029 -0.03)
5-1 @ 0.9% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 46.4%
1-1 @ 10.1% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.59% (0.032 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.88% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.91% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.82%
1-2 @ 7.28% (0.048 0.05)
0-1 @ 5.59% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.02% (0.033 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.49% (0.055 0.05)
2-3 @ 3.16% (0.044 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.93% (0.034 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.26% (0.031 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.14% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 30.78%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Heerenveen

Middlesbrough
50.0%
Draw
50.0%
Heerenveen
0.0%
8
rhs 2.0
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4Arsenal32105147
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle32104227
6Brentford32015416
7Aston Villa32014406
8Bournemouth31205415
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11Chelsea31117524
12Fulham31113304
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham310245-13
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd310225-33
15Leicester CityLeicester301235-21
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17Ipswich TownIpswich301227-51
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves301239-61
19Southampton300315-40
20Everton3003210-80


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