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Championship | Gameweek 1
Aug 10, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Swansea logo

Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Swansea

Latte Lath (25' pen.)
Engel (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cabango (14'), Franco (43'), Tymon (76'), Thomas (90+4'), Thomas (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Heerenveen
Saturday, August 3 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Swansea 3-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Swansea City

With Swansea more settled under Williams, they could produce a few surprises this season. However, on this occasion, we are backing Boro to edge a competitive contest, potentially having to ride out some nervy moments in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 51.2%. A win for Swansea City has a probability of 25.47% and a draw has a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Swansea City win is 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.88%).

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawSwansea City
51.2% (1.671 1.67) 23.32% (0.045000000000002 0.05) 25.47% (-1.72 -1.72)
Both teams to score 57.76% (-1.792 -1.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.9% (-1.638 -1.64)43.09% (1.632 1.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.51% (-1.635 -1.64)65.49% (1.632 1.63)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.1% (0.0040000000000049 0)16.9% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.05% (0.012 0.01)46.95% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.51% (-2.163 -2.16)30.49% (2.158 2.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.29% (-2.645 -2.65)66.7% (2.64 2.64)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 51.2%
    Swansea City 25.47%
    Draw 23.32%
MiddlesbroughDrawSwansea City
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.129 0.13)
1-0 @ 9.16% (0.646 0.65)
2-0 @ 8.14% (0.577 0.58)
3-1 @ 5.73% (0.078 0.08)
3-0 @ 4.83% (0.343 0.34)
3-2 @ 3.4% (-0.161 -0.16)
4-1 @ 2.55% (0.036 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.15% (0.153 0.15)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.071 -0.07)
5-1 @ 0.91% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 51.2%
1-1 @ 10.88% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.273 -0.27)
0-0 @ 5.15% (0.362 0.36)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.151 -0.15)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.32%
1-2 @ 6.46% (-0.31 -0.31)
0-1 @ 6.12% (0.079 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.64% (-0.175 -0.18)
1-3 @ 2.56% (-0.288 -0.29)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.255 -0.26)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.163 -0.16)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 25.47%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Swansea

Middlesbrough
79.6%
Draw
9.3%
Swansea City
11.1%
54
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 41
Middlesbrough
2-0
Swansea
Latte Lath (45+1', 79')
Ayling (81'), Barlaser (84')

Cooper (78'), Cullen (86')
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Swansea
1-2
Middlesbrough
Lowe (59')
Tymon (62'), Paterson (65')
Greenwood (43'), Silvera (78')
Howson (64'), Jones (67'), Latte Lath (90+4')
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Swansea
1-3
Middlesbrough
Piroe (15')
Ramsey (54'), Archer (57'), Akpom (77' pen.)
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Middlesbrough
2-1
Swansea
McGree (14'), Crooks (30')
Mowatt (27'), Crooks (45'), Lenihan (78'), Roberts (84'), Jones (87')
Piroe (79' pen.)
Cabango (74'), Wood (80'), Cabango (87'), Cooper (90+2')
Cabango (87')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
Swansea
1-1
Middlesbrough
Obafemi (48')
Wolf (84'), Christie (87')
McGree (46')
Bamba (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley29151223692757
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Millwall29910102826237
15Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2978143652-1629
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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