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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 51.2%. A win for Swansea City has a probability of 25.47% and a draw has a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Swansea City win is 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.88%).
Result | ||
Middlesbrough | Draw | Swansea City |
51.2% ( 1.67) | 23.32% ( 0.05) | 25.47% ( -1.72) |
Both teams to score 57.76% ( -1.79) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.9% ( -1.64) | 43.09% ( 1.63) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.51% ( -1.64) | 65.49% ( 1.63) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.1% ( 0) | 16.9% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.05% ( 0.01) | 46.95% ( -0.02) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.51% ( -2.16) | 30.49% ( 2.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.29% ( -2.65) | 66.7% ( 2.64) |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough | Draw | Swansea City |
2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.65) 2-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.58) 3-1 @ 5.73% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.34) 3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.15) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.15% Total : 51.2% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.27) 0-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.36) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.32% | 1-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.31) 0-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.29) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.26) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.98% Total : 25.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
15 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
17 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
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