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Championship | Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2024 at 1pm UK
The Den
West Brom logo

Millwall
1 - 1
West Brom

Watmore (21')
Bryan (5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Swift (67' pen.)
Bartley (17'), Kipre (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Millwall and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 2-0 Millwall
Sunday, March 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 2-0 Bristol City
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-2 West Bromwich Albion

Of all the teams competing for a playoff spot, it is West Brom that have clicked into gear at the right time. Although Millwall have shown their own improvements, we are backing the Baggies to battle their way to a hard-fought victory at The Den. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 46.87%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 25.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.2%) and 1-2 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Millwall win it was 1-0 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawWest Bromwich Albion
25.97% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 27.15% (0.038 0.04) 46.87% (-0.07 -0.07)
Both teams to score 46.46% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.87% (-0.122 -0.12)58.12% (0.118 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.21% (-0.096 -0.1)78.78% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.8% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)38.19% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.04% (-0.041 -0.04)74.95% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.18% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)24.82% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.59% (-0.121 -0.12)59.4% (0.117 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 25.97%
    West Bromwich Albion 46.87%
    Draw 27.14%
MillwallDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 9.12% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 6.12% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 4.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.96% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 1.41% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 25.97%
1-1 @ 12.71% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.48% (0.042 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.14%
0-1 @ 13.2% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 9.2% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 8.86% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.28% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.12% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.49% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.43% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 46.87%

How you voted: Millwall vs West Brom

Millwall
20.5%
Draw
31.8%
West Bromwich Albion
47.7%
44
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 17
Millwall
2-1
West Brom
Styles (38'), Burey (90')
Swift (20')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 29
Millwall
2-0
West Brom
Bennett (67'), Afobe (76')
Bennett (70')

Furlong (88')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 6
West Brom
1-1
Millwall
Bartley (49')
Kipre (20')
Ballard (55')
Mitchell (43'), Wallace (60'), Smith (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd33226547232470
2Leeds UnitedLeeds32209366194769
3Burnley33171423993065
4Sunderland321711449282162
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn33156123931851
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom331115742311148
7Coventry CityCoventry33138124441347
8Bristol City33111394137446
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds33129124650-445
10Watford33136144348-545
11Middlesbrough32128125043744
12Norwich CityNorwich331111115145644
13Queens Park RangersQPR331111113941-244
14Millwall321011113233-141
15Preston North EndPreston3291493438-441
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd33911133447-1338
17Swansea CitySwansea33107163446-1237
18Portsmouth3399154155-1436
19Stoke CityStoke32811133140-935
20Cardiff CityCardiff32711143554-1932
21Hull City3279163243-1130
22Derby CountyDerby3378183346-1329
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth32610163466-3228
24Luton TownLuton3276193052-2227


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