EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 8, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stadium mk
MK Dons2 - 2Arsenal U21s
MK Dons win 3-1 on penalties
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: MK Dons 1-1 Tranmere
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two
Goals
for
for
13
Last Game: Arsenal U21s 2-5 Spurs U21s
Saturday, October 5 at 1pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Saturday, October 5 at 1pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Goals
for
for
14
We said: MK Dons 2-1 Arsenal Under-21s
Arsenal's last two defensive displays have been highly concerning, and an MK Dons side still enjoying a new manager bounce should be able to exploit such frailties. In a reversal of fortunes from the opening matchday, we can picture the League Two outfit prevailing by a 2-1 scoreline on this occasion, as Group E is blown wide open. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 56.35%. A win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 23.24% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.97%) and 3-1 (6.83%). The likeliest Arsenal Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Arsenal Under-21s |
56.35% ( -0.02) | 20.41% ( -0) | 23.24% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 65.68% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
