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Carlisle United
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Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
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Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
CNG Stadium
MK Dons

Harrogate
1 - 5
MK Dons

Offord (73' og.)
FT(HT: 0-3)
Leigh (35'), White (45+2'), Gilbey (45+4'), Lemonheigh-Evans (88'), Finch (90')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Harrogate Town and MK Dons.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Harrogate 2-1 Bradford
Saturday, September 28 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Bromley 1-1 MK Dons
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 49.81%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 25.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawMK Dons
25.79% (-0.716 -0.72) 24.4% (0.387 0.39) 49.81% (0.331 0.33)
Both teams to score 54.46% (-1.927 -1.93)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.4% (-2.236 -2.24)47.6% (2.239 2.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.2% (-2.102 -2.1)69.8% (2.104 2.1)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.36% (-1.754 -1.75)32.64% (1.757 1.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.81% (-2.011 -2.01)69.19% (2.013 2.01)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.85% (-0.73399999999999 -0.73)19.15% (0.737 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.21% (-1.229 -1.23)50.79% (1.232 1.23)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 25.79%
    MK Dons 49.81%
    Draw 24.4%
Harrogate TownDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 7% (0.316 0.32)
2-1 @ 6.48% (-0.166 -0.17)
2-0 @ 3.92% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.42% (-0.184 -0.18)
3-2 @ 2% (-0.204 -0.2)
3-0 @ 1.46% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 25.79%
1-1 @ 11.56% (0.26 0.26)
0-0 @ 6.25% (0.564 0.56)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.267 -0.27)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.14 -0.14)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.4%
0-1 @ 10.33% (0.708 0.71)
1-2 @ 9.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.54% (0.397 0.4)
1-3 @ 5.27% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-3 @ 4.71% (0.112 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.95% (-0.221 -0.22)
1-4 @ 2.18% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-4 @ 1.95% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.22% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 49.81%

Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 45
Harrogate
3-5
MK Dons
Odoh (33'), Thomson (45+2', 50')
Gilbey (40'), Dean (43'), Wearne (52'), Tezgel (80'), Harrison (83')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
MK Dons
0-1
Harrogate

Alexander (44'), Williams (54'), Ilunga (90+5'), Dean (90+6')
O'Hora (40' og.)
Oxley (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1710432517834
2Walsall1694330171331
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe178632115630
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
5Notts County177732315828
6MK Dons168352719827
7AFC Wimbledon1682625141126
8Chesterfield1767430201025
9Grimsby Town178181926-725
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood155732015522
13BarrowBarrow176471716122
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Colchester UnitedColchester173951922-318
19Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
20Bromley163851921-217
21Tranmere RoversTranmere164571020-1017
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514
23Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
24Morecambe1734101729-1213


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