We said: Moreirense 2-1 AVS
Given their solid record on home turf, Moreirense are the favourites to come out on top, and the onus will be on them to take the fight to AVS.
We are backing the hosts to just about do enough to come away with maximum points at the end of the 90 minutes.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AVS win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 29.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AVS win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.