Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Porto win with a probability of 70.41%. A draw has a probability of 18.4% and a win for Moreirense has a probability of 11.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win is 0-2 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (12.02%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Moreirense win it is 1-0 (4.04%).
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Porto |
11.19% ( -0.3) | 18.4% ( -0.3) | 70.41% ( 0.6) |
Both teams to score 45.72% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.17% ( 0.54) | 44.83% ( -0.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.81% ( 0.52) | 67.18% ( -0.52) |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.66% ( -0.19) | 48.34% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.52% ( -0.14) | 83.48% ( 0.14) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.5% ( 0.31) | 11.5% ( -0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.63% ( 0.68) | 36.37% ( -0.68) |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 3.18% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.51% Total : 11.19% | 1-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.66% Total : 18.4% | 0-2 @ 13% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 12.02% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 9.45% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 9.37% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 6.82% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 5.07% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 3.69% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 2.19% ( 0.09) 1-5 @ 1.59% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.39% Total : 70.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |