Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 21, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Moreirense0 - 3Porto
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nacional 1-0 Moreirense
Saturday, December 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, December 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
19
We said: Moreirense 1-2 Porto
Porto could move top of the league standings with a win this weekend and we expect them to go all out against Moreirense who have won just three of their last 20 clashes since November 2010. While Os verdes e brancos have been rock-solid at home this season, Bruno's men boast the firepower needed to get the job done and we fancy them to come away with all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 70.6%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.23%) and 0-3 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | Porto |
11% ( -0.19) | 18.39% ( -0) | 70.6% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 45.1% ( -0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
