Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AVS win with a probability of 48.82%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 25.22%.
The most likely scoreline for an AVS win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
AVS | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
48.82% ( -0.07) | 25.96% ( 0.04) | 25.22% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 49.19% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.72% ( -0.14) | 54.28% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.33% ( -0.12) | 75.67% ( 0.12) |
AVS Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.74% ( -0.09) | 22.26% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.3% ( -0.13) | 55.7% ( 0.13) |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.27% ( -0.05) | 36.73% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.48% ( -0.05) | 73.52% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
AVS | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
1-0 @ 12.28% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.23% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.03% Total : 48.82% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.16% 0-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 25.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Nacional | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
15 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
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