Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 36.6%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (11.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Moreirense |
36.6% ( -0.2) | 28.22% ( -0.03) | 35.18% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 47.12% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.93% ( 0.12) | 59.07% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.47% ( 0.09) | 79.53% ( -0.09) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.1% ( -0.07) | 30.9% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.81% ( -0.08) | 67.19% ( 0.08) |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.2% ( 0.21) | 31.8% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.76% ( 0.24) | 68.24% ( -0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Moreirense |
1-0 @ 11.54% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0) Other @ 3.09% Total : 36.6% | 1-1 @ 13.22% 0-0 @ 9.83% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.22% | 0-1 @ 11.25% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 35.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Nacional | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
15 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |