Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs | Third Round | 1st Leg
May 28, 2024 at 7pm UK
Rat Verlegh Stadion
NAC Breda6 - 2Excelsior
Omgba (12'), Janosek (39' pen.), Van den Bergh (42'), Koscelnik (74'), Mar Omarsson (78', 90+4')
Lucassen (17'), van de Merbel (45+4'), Staring (52')
Lucassen (17'), van de Merbel (45+4'), Staring (52')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Emmen 0-3 NAC Breda
Saturday, May 25 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Saturday, May 25 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Goals
for
for
63
Last Game: Excelsior 7-1 ADO Den Haag
Saturday, May 25 at 7pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Saturday, May 25 at 7pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
We said: NAC Breda 1-2 SBV Excelsior
With both sides heading into this first-leg meeting enjoying a goal-laden spell, we are anticipating an exciting matchup at Rat Verlegh Stadion on Tuesday night. NAC Breda have been mightily impressive recently, but Excelsior's Eredivisie quality will provide a considerable test, and we feel that the visitors will take a narrow lead into next weekend's second leg. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 52.16%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 24.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.
| Result | ||
| NAC Breda | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 52.16% | 22.87% | 24.96% |
| Both teams to score 58.78% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
