Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 1
Feb 16, 2024 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Nacional2 - 1River Plate
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and River Plate.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nacional 1-1 Torque
Thursday, December 7 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Thursday, December 7 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 2-1 River Plate
Wednesday, December 6 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Wednesday, December 6 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
Result | ||
Nacional | Draw | River Plate |
43.36% ( -0.02) | 27.67% ( 0) | 28.97% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 46.95% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.53% ( -0.01) | 58.47% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.94% ( -0.01) | 79.05% ( 0) |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.25% ( -0.01) | 26.74% ( 0.01) |