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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 8, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
2 - 2
River Plate

Carneiro (78' pen., 79')
Pereyra (13'), Antoni (19'), Sanabria (38'), Lozano (49'), Romero (54'), Polenta (61'), Carneiro (81')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Borja (8'), Colidio (30')
Colidio (32'), Herrera (55')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Nacional and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nacional 4-2 Racing
Saturday, May 4 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Libertad 1-2 River Plate
Thursday, April 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 48.64%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
NacionalDrawRiver Plate
26.52% (0.183 0.18) 24.85% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 48.64% (-0.169 -0.17)
Both teams to score 53.71% (0.201 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.09% (0.189 0.19)48.91% (-0.186 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29% (0.172 0.17)71% (-0.17100000000001 -0.17)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.25% (0.247 0.25)32.75% (-0.245 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.69% (0.273 0.27)69.31% (-0.27200000000001 -0.27)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.86% (0.007000000000005 0.01)20.14% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.58% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)52.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 26.52%
    River Plate 48.64%
    Draw 24.84%
NacionalDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 7.36% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.59% (0.038 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.11% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.45% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.025 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.53% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 26.52%
1-1 @ 11.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.6% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.031 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.84%
0-1 @ 10.57% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 9.45% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.47% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
1-3 @ 5.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 4.52% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.82% (0.017 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.81% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.13% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 48.64%

Head to Head
Apr 12, 2024 1am
Group Stage
River Plate
2-0
Nacional
Echeverri (15'), Colidio (90+3')

Polenta (57'), Castro (60'), Baez (87')
Dec 18, 2020 12.30am
Quarter-Finals
Nacional
2-6
River Plate
Cougo (45+2'), Rodriguez (55')
Rochet (18')
Carrascal (28'), De La Cruz (45'), Zuculini (50'), Borre (67', 74', 80')
Zuculini (27')
Dec 11, 2020 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City97202091123
2Liverpool97111751222
3Arsenal95311710718
4Aston Villa95311611518
5Chelsea95221911817
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton94411612416
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest9441117416
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs94141810813
9Brentford94141818013
10Fulham93331212012
11Bournemouth93331111012
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle9333910-112
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham93241316-311
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd9324811-311
15Leicester CityLeicester92341317-49
16Everton92341016-69
17Crystal Palace9135611-56
18Ipswich TownIpswich9045920-114
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves90271225-132
20Southampton9018619-131


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