MX23RW : Thursday, November 28 04:45:46| >> :600:2664962:2664962:
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 8, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
2 - 2
River Plate

Carneiro (78' pen., 79')
Pereyra (13'), Antoni (19'), Sanabria (38'), Lozano (49'), Romero (54'), Polenta (61'), Carneiro (81')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Borja (8'), Colidio (30')
Colidio (32'), Herrera (55')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Nacional and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nacional 4-2 Racing
Saturday, May 4 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Libertad 1-2 River Plate
Thursday, April 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 48.64%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
NacionalDrawRiver Plate
26.52% (0.183 0.18) 24.85% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 48.64% (-0.169 -0.17)
Both teams to score 53.71% (0.201 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.09% (0.189 0.19)48.91% (-0.186 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29% (0.172 0.17)71% (-0.17100000000001 -0.17)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.25% (0.247 0.25)32.75% (-0.245 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.69% (0.273 0.27)69.31% (-0.27200000000001 -0.27)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.86% (0.007000000000005 0.01)20.14% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.58% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)52.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 26.52%
    River Plate 48.64%
    Draw 24.84%
NacionalDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 7.36% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.59% (0.038 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.11% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.45% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.025 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.53% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 26.52%
1-1 @ 11.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.6% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.031 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.84%
0-1 @ 10.57% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 9.45% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.47% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
1-3 @ 5.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 4.52% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.82% (0.017 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.81% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.13% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 48.64%

Head to Head
Apr 12, 2024 1am
Group Stage
River Plate
2-0
Nacional
Echeverri (15'), Colidio (90+3')

Polenta (57'), Castro (60'), Baez (87')
Dec 18, 2020 12.30am
Quarter-Finals
Nacional
2-6
River Plate
Cougo (45+2'), Rodriguez (55')
Rochet (18')
Carrascal (28'), De La Cruz (45'), Zuculini (50'), Borre (67', 74', 80')
Zuculini (27')
Dec 11, 2020 12.30am
rhs 2.0
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