Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 3, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Nacional2 - 0Libertad
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Nacional and Club Libertad.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Penarol 0-0 Nacional
Friday, March 29 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Friday, March 29 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 Libertad
Tuesday, August 8 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Tuesday, August 8 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Club Libertad had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Club Libertad win was 0-1 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Club Libertad |
40.17% ( 1.75) | 27.14% ( -0.1) | 32.68% ( -1.64) |
| Both teams to score 49.96% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
