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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Nacional
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
Sporting Lisbon

Nacional
1 - 6
Sporting Lisbon

Thomas (36')
Ulisses (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Goncalves (16'), Trincao (41', 57'), Gyokeres (51' pen., 76'), Braganca (66')
Inacio (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Nacional and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: AVS 1-1 Nacional
Saturday, August 10 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-1 Rio Ave
Friday, August 9 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Nacional 0-2 Sporting Lisbon

 Sporting, undefeated in their last 11 league away matches, are expected to extend their streak with a comfortable win against newly-promoted Nacional to continue their 100% start in 2024-25 and claim a sixth straight win in this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 58.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 20.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.3%) and 0-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Nacional win it was 2-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawSporting Lisbon
20.28% (0.071999999999999 0.07) 21.57% (-0.052 -0.05) 58.14% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.89% (0.3 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.92% (0.34 0.34)41.07% (-0.338 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.53% (0.346 0.35)63.47% (-0.344 -0.34)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.05% (0.268 0.27)33.94% (-0.26600000000001 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.38% (0.287 0.29)70.62% (-0.286 -0.29)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.13% (0.108 0.11)13.87% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.73% (0.21 0.21)41.26% (-0.208 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 20.28%
    Sporting Lisbon 58.14%
    Draw 21.57%
NacionalDrawSporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 5.43% (0.016 0.02)
1-0 @ 5.09% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 2.75% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 1.96% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.93% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 0.99% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 20.28%
1-1 @ 10.04% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.036 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.71% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.27% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.57%
1-2 @ 9.93% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 9.3% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-2 @ 9.19% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-3 @ 6.54% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
0-3 @ 6.05% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.53% (0.037 0.04)
1-4 @ 3.23% (0.023 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.99%
2-4 @ 1.74% (0.025 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.28% (0.015 0.02)
0-5 @ 1.18% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 58.14%

How you voted: Nacional vs Sporting Lisbon

Nacional
2.8%
Draw
2.8%
Sporting Lisbon
94.4%
36
Head to Head
May 1, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 30
Sporting Lisbon
2-0
Nacional
Feddal (83'), Cabral (90+2' pen.)
Paulinho (31'), Braganca (53')

Ibrahim Alhassan (22'), Bessa (57'), Cesar (65'), Correia (90+1')
Ibrahim Alhassan (66')
> Preview
Jan 8, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 13
Nacional
0-2
Sporting Lisbon

Micael (11'), Simoes da Vinha (42'), Borges (61'), Freitas (69')
Santos (43'), Cabral (90')
Feddal (27'), Amorim (57')
> Preview
Apr 19, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 30
Nacional
0-1
Sporting Lisbon

Cesar (62'), Witi (89')
Phellype (62')
Acuna (7'), Gudelj (55'), Cabral (65')
Dec 16, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 13
Sporting Lisbon
5-2
Nacional
Dost (35' pen., 87' pen.), Fernandes (70', 91'), Mathieu (75')
Mathieu (27'), Coates (32'), Fernandes (57')
Camacho (6'), Palocevic (25')
Lopes (73'), Kalindi (85'), Hamzaoui (86')
Mar 18, 2017 6.15pm
Sporting Lisbon
2-0
Nacional
Dost (13', 34')
Semedo (29'), Schelotto (45')

Mezga (31'), Cesar (55'), Garcia (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Porto1411123392434
3Benfica1310213282432
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8FamalicaoFamalicao144731715219
9Casa Pia144551317-417
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13Nacional13337817-912
14AVS142661122-1112
15Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
16BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
17AroucaArouca14329823-1511
18SC FarenseFarense14239720-139
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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