Primeira Liga | Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
Nacional1 - 6Sporting Lisbon
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: AVS 1-1 Nacional
Saturday, August 10 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, August 10 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-1 Rio Ave
Friday, August 9 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, August 9 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Nacional 0-2 Sporting Lisbon
Sporting, undefeated in their last 11 league away matches, are expected to extend their streak with a comfortable win against newly-promoted Nacional to continue their 100% start in 2024-25 and claim a sixth straight win in this fixture. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 58.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 20.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.3%) and 0-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Nacional win it was 2-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
20.28% ( 0.07) | 21.57% ( -0.05) | 58.14% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.89% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
