MX23RW : Tuesday, December 31 00:04:18| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Sporting Lisbon
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 21, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Vitoria de Guimaraes

Sporting Lisbon
3 - 0
Guimaraes

Goncalves (30'), Gyokeres (45+3', 49')
Trincao (70')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Oliveira (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 0-1 Sporting Lisbon
Tuesday, April 16 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 3-1 Guimaraes
Wednesday, April 17 at 8.15pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Vitoria de Guimaraes

 While Sporting's midweek victory was not the prettiest, Os Leoes are a different beast at Estadio Jose Alvalade. Indeed, Vitoria cannot be underestimated, but we feel they will be no match for the hosts in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 74.55%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 10.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 3-0 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.49%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 1-2 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
74.55% (-0.328 -0.33) 14.75% (0.201 0.2) 10.7% (0.13 0.13)
Both teams to score 58.09% (-0.378 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.7% (-0.657 -0.66)28.3% (0.661 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.88% (-0.818 -0.82)49.12% (0.82100000000001 0.82)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.57% (-0.203 -0.2)6.43% (0.206 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.93% (-0.565 -0.56)24.06% (0.568 0.57)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.08% (-0.266 -0.27)37.92% (0.269 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.31% (-0.261 -0.26)74.69% (0.264 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 74.55%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 10.7%
    Draw 14.75%
Sporting LisbonDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
2-0 @ 9.18% (0.146 0.15)
2-1 @ 8.9% (0.077 0.08)
3-0 @ 8.4% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 8.14% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.69% (0.184 0.18)
4-0 @ 5.76% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-1 @ 5.59% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.95% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-0 @ 3.16% (-0.061 -0.06)
5-1 @ 3.07% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-2 @ 2.71% (-0.061 -0.06)
5-2 @ 1.49% (-0.051 -0.05)
6-0 @ 1.45% (-0.046 -0.05)
6-1 @ 1.4% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 4.66%
Total : 74.55%
1-1 @ 6.49% (0.132 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.32% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.44% (0.095 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 14.75%
1-2 @ 3.14% (0.041 0.04)
0-1 @ 2.36% (0.075 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.15% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.02% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 10.7%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Guimaraes

Sporting Lisbon
87.1%
Draw
9.7%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
3.2%
31
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 13
Guimaraes
3-2
Sporting Lisbon
Silva (45+7' pen.), Silva (73'), Silva (80')
Mangas (27'), Carlos (89'), Silva (90+4')
Inacio (42'), Santos (77')
Esgaio (17'), Neto (90+4')
> Preview
Apr 24, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 29
Guimaraes
0-2
Sporting Lisbon
Goncalves (47'), Arthur (90+3')
> Preview
Nov 5, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 12
Sporting Lisbon
3-0
Guimaraes
Edwards (34', 55'), Morita (40')
> Preview
Mar 19, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 27
Guimaraes
1-3
Sporting Lisbon
Estupinan (23')
Fernandes (26'), Mumin (27'), Silva (39'), Varela (45')
Pepa (28')
Sarabia (45+1' pen.), Paulinho (70'), Edwards (90+8')
Santos (51'), Esgaio (54')
> Preview
Oct 30, 2021 9.15pm
Gameweek 10
Sporting Lisbon
1-0
Guimaraes
Coates (31')
Feddal (88'), Ugarte (90')

Silva (23'), Borevkovic (25')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon16131244103440
2Porto1613124093140
3Benfica1612223792838
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara1610061816230
5Braga1684428181028
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes166642218424
7Casa Pia166551819-123
8MoreirenseMoreirense166372124-321
9FamalicaoFamalicao164751919019
10Rio AveRio Ave165471727-1019
11Gil Vicente164661825-718
12Estrela Amadora164481425-1116
13Estoril PraiaEstoril163671426-1215
14AVS162861223-1114
15SC FarenseFarense163491123-1213
16Nacional163491123-1213
17BoavistaBoavista162681023-1312
18AroucaArouca1633101027-1712
> Primeira Liga Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!