Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 77.97%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 8.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.37%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.05%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-2 (2.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Rio Ave |
77.97% ( 0.04) | 13.41% ( -0.02) | 8.62% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 54.59% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.57% ( 0.02) | 28.42% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.73% ( 0.02) | 49.27% ( -0.02) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.15% ( 0.01) | 5.84% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
77.56% ( 0.03) | 22.44% ( -0.03) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.98% ( -0.03) | 42.02% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.55% ( -0.03) | 78.45% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Rio Ave |
2-0 @ 9.9% ( 0) 3-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 8.13% 1-0 @ 6.97% ( -0) 4-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 5.77% ( 0) 5-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0) 5-1 @ 3.28% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.5% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.79% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.55% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.42% ( 0) Other @ 4.75% Total : 77.97% | 1-1 @ 6.05% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.72% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.46% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 13.41% | 1-2 @ 2.62% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.13% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0) 0-2 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.87% Total : 8.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 14 | 39 | 47 |
2 | Benfica | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 43 | 14 | 29 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 42 | 15 | 27 | 41 |
4 | Braga | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 32 |
6 | Casa Pia | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 30 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 24 |
9 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 23 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 23 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 22 |
12 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 21 |
13 | Nacional | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 19 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 19 |
15 | AVS | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 17 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | -19 | 12 |
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