Primeira Liga | Gameweek 1
Aug 9, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
We said: Sporting Lisbon 3-1 Rio Ave
Although Sporting lost last time out against Porto, they still scored three goals and demonstrated their attacking prowess.
Additionally, while Rio Ave have proven to be stubborn opponents in the past, they did struggle away from home last season, and that should make the hosts favourites on Friday.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 77.97% . A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 8.62% .
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.9% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.37%) and 2-1 (8.58%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.05%) , while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-2 (2.62%) . The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
Result Sporting Lisbon Draw Rio Ave 77.97% ( 0.04) 13.41% ( -0.02) 8.62% ( -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.59% ( -0.02)
71.57% ( 0.02) 28.42% ( -0.02)
50.73% ( 0.02) 49.27% ( -0.02)
94.15% ( 0.01) 5.84% ( -0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 77.56% ( 0.03) 22.44% ( -0.03)
57.98% ( -0.03) 42.02% ( 0.03)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 21.55% ( -0.03) 78.45% ( 0.02)
Sporting Lisbon 77.97%
Rio Ave 8.62%
Draw 13.41%
Sporting Lisbon Draw Rio Ave 2-0 @ 9.9% ( 0) 3-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 8.13% 1-0 @ 6.97% ( -0) 4-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 5.77% ( 0) 5-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0) 5-1 @ 3.28% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.5% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.79% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.55% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.42% ( 0) Other @ 4.75% Total : 77.97% 1-1 @ 6.05% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.72% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.46% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 13.41% 1-2 @ 2.62% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.13% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0) 0-2 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.87% Total : 8.62%
How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Rio Ave
Sporting Lisbon
Draw
Rio Ave
47
rhs 2.0
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