Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 77.97%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 8.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.37%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.05%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-2 (2.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Rio Ave |
77.97% (![]() | 13.41% (![]() | 8.62% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.59% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.57% (![]() | 28.42% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.73% (![]() | 49.27% (![]() |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.15% (![]() | 5.84% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
77.56% (![]() | 22.44% (![]() |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.98% (![]() | 42.02% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.55% (![]() | 78.45% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Rio Ave |
2-0 @ 9.9% (![]() 3-0 @ 9.37% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.58% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 8.13% 1-0 @ 6.97% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 6.65% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 5.77% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 3.78% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.52% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 3.28% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.5% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.79% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.42% ( ![]() Other @ 4.75% Total : 77.97% | 1-1 @ 6.05% (![]() 2-2 @ 3.72% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.46% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 0.17% Total : 13.41% | 1-2 @ 2.62% (![]() 0-1 @ 2.13% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.08% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 1.87% Total : 8.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 12 |
2 | Porto | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
3 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 |
6 | Braga | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
7 | Benfica | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
12 | AVS | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 |
13 | Nacional | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 |
15 | Casa Pia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 3 |
16 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 2 |
17 | Estrela Amadora | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 0 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |