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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Sporting Lisbon
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 1
Aug 9, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Rio Ave

Sporting Lisbon
3 - 1
Rio Ave

Goncalves (6', 26'), Gyokeres (63')
Goncalves (51'), Catamo (70')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Clayton (90')
Aderlan (35'), Clayton (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-4 Porto
Saturday, August 3 at 8.15pm in Portuguese Super Cup

Rio Ave

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Swansea 3-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Sporting Lisbon 3-1 Rio Ave

 Although Sporting lost last time out against Porto, they still scored three goals and demonstrated their attacking prowess. Additionally, while Rio Ave have proven to be stubborn opponents in the past, they did struggle away from home last season, and that should make the hosts favourites on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 77.97%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 8.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.37%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.05%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-2 (2.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawRio Ave
77.97% (0.036999999999992 0.04) 13.41% (-0.016 -0.02) 8.62% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.59% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.57% (0.015999999999991 0.02)28.42% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.73% (0.018999999999998 0.02)49.27% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.15% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)5.84% (-0.0080999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.56% (0.027999999999992 0.03)22.44% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.98% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)42.02% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.55% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)78.45% (0.024999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 77.97%
    Rio Ave 8.62%
    Draw 13.41%
Sporting LisbonDrawRio Ave
2-0 @ 9.9% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 9.37% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.58% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 8.13%
1-0 @ 6.97% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
4-0 @ 6.65% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 5.77% (0.0039999999999996 0)
5-0 @ 3.78% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.52% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
5-1 @ 3.28% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 2.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
6-0 @ 1.79% (0.004 0)
6-1 @ 1.55% (0.002 0)
5-2 @ 1.42% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.75%
Total : 77.97%
1-1 @ 6.05% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.72% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 2.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 13.41%
1-2 @ 2.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 2.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.08% (-0.002 -0)
0-2 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 8.62%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Rio Ave

Sporting Lisbon
89.4%
Draw
8.5%
Rio Ave
2.1%
47
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 23
Rio Ave
3-3
Sporting Lisbon
Embalo (3'), Yakubu (45+4' pen., 67' pen.)
Embalo (6'), Graca (60'), Pantalon (80'), Gomes (83'), Costinha (90+4')
Pantalon (90+1')
Hjulmand (9'), Gyokeres (44'), Coates (73')
St Juste (6'), Catamo (63'), Diomande (75')
> Preview
Sep 25, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 6
Sporting Lisbon
2-0
Rio Ave
Paulinho (10'), Edwards (26')
Coates (48')

Aderlan (19'), Acevedo (47'), Ronaldo (57'), Ukra (73'), Santos Ventura (90+3')
> Preview
Feb 6, 2023 9.15pm
Gameweek 19
Rio Ave
0-1
Sporting Lisbon
Chermiti (84')
> Preview
Dec 7, 2022 8.30pm
Group Stage
Rio Ave
0-2
Sporting Lisbon
Inacio (62'), Boateng (73' og.)
> Preview
Aug 13, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 2
Sporting Lisbon
3-0
Rio Ave
Goncalves (36', 75'), Nunes (67')
Ugarte (61')

Ferreira (64'), Oudrhiri (83')
> Preview
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Benfica1411213482635
3Porto1411123392434
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8Casa Pia155551618-220
9FamalicaoFamalicao144731715219
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS142661122-1112
14Nacional14338819-1112
15Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
16BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
17AroucaArouca153210926-1711
18SC FarenseFarense14239720-139
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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