Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 87.1%. A draw has a probability of 8.5% and a win for Chaves has a probability of 4.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win is 3-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 4-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (3.68%), while for a Chaves win it is 1-2 (1.43%).
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Chaves |
87.1% ( -0.11) | 8.46% ( 0.06) | 4.45% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 52.33% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
80.37% ( -0.11) | 19.63% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
62.43% ( -0.16) | 37.57% ( 0.16) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
97.08% ( -0.03) | 2.92% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
86.77% ( -0.1) | 13.23% ( 0.11) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.9% ( 0.07) | 46.1% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.2% ( 0.05) | 81.8% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Chaves |
3-0 @ 9.9% ( 0) 4-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.03) 6-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.62% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.85% ( -0) 7-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) 7-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) 6-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 5.13% Total : 87.1% | 1-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.91% Total : 8.46% | 1-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 4.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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