MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 09:16:47| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Ligue 1 header desktop

Ligue 1
Nantes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 10
Nov 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Marseille

Nantes
1 - 2
Marseille

Kadewere (39')
Pallois (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Maupay (24'), Greenwood (61')
Balerdi (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions
Last Game: Strasbourg 3-1 Nantes
Sunday, October 27 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Marseille

All competitions
Last Game: Marseille 0-3 PSG
Sunday, October 27 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nantes 1-3 Marseille

 While Marseille's tally of four away wins is the second-most in Europe's big five leagues in 2024, no team in the Premier League, Ligue 1, Serie A, La Liga or Bundesliga has fewer than Nantes' one home victory in the whole of 2024. Another miserable Beaujoire outing surely awaits for the Canaris faithful, whose side are adept at finding the back of the net, but Marseille's rampant attackers will surely expose their defensive vulnerabilities time and time again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 47.58%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 27.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
NantesDrawMarseille
27.71% (0.067999999999998 0.07) 24.7% (0.247 0.25) 47.58% (-0.312 -0.31)
Both teams to score 55.13% (-0.759 -0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.52% (-1.024 -1.02)47.48% (1.027 1.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.31% (-0.956 -0.96)69.7% (0.95899999999999 0.96)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.93% (-0.48099999999999 -0.48)31.08% (0.485 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.61% (-0.565 -0.56)67.39% (0.569 0.57)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.99% (-0.53700000000001 -0.54)20.02% (0.54 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.79% (-0.875 -0.88)52.21% (0.878 0.88)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 27.71%
    Marseille 47.58%
    Draw 24.7%
NantesDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 7.27% (0.213 0.21)
2-1 @ 6.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 4.25% (0.069 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.66% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.66% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 27.71%
1-1 @ 11.69% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 6.22% (0.262 0.26)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.7%
0-1 @ 10% (0.253 0.25)
1-2 @ 9.41% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.05% (0.075 0.08)
1-3 @ 5.04% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-3 @ 4.32% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.95% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-4 @ 2.03% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.74% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.19% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 47.58%

How you voted: Nantes vs Marseille

Nantes
6.6%
Draw
17.9%
Marseille
75.5%
106
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Marseille
2-0
Nantes
Aubameyang (17', 79')
Aubameyang (74'), Mbemba (90+2')

Douglas (27'), Amian (45+1'), Gourvennec (80'), Sissoko (90+6')
> Preview
Sep 1, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 4
Nantes
1-1
Marseille
Mohamed (39')
Aristouy (69')
Meupiyou (9')
Sarr (4')
Aubameyang (26'), Rongier (70')
> Preview
Feb 1, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 21
Nantes
0-2
Marseille
Victor (57' og.), Ounahi (90+3')
> Preview
Aug 20, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 3
Marseille
2-1
Nantes
Mbemba (70'), Pallois (82' og.)
Rongier (55'), Gigot (60'), Lopez (76'), Veretout (90+3')
Gigot (76')
Blas (78' pen.)
Guessand (59')
> Preview
Apr 20, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 33
Marseille
3-2
Nantes
Payet (39' pen., 55' pen.), Harit (75')
Peres (35'), Milik (87')
Girotto (26'), Coco (41')
Blas (32'), Coco (45'), Da Silva (81'), Appiah (90+1')
Coco (90+3')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG18144048163246
2Marseille18114340211937
3Lille1888228171132
4MonacoMonaco189452920931
5Nice1886436251130
6Lyon188552922729
7Lens187652218427
8Toulouse187471919025
9Brest188192831-325
10StrasbourgStrasbourg186663130124
11Auxerre186482428-422
12Angers186482127-622
13Reims185672426-221
14Rennes1852112427-317
15NantesNantes183872128-717
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1852111738-2117
17Le HavreLe Havre1841131437-2313
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1833121843-2512
> Ligue 1 Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!