Ligue 1 | Gameweek 10
Nov 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Nantes1 - 2Marseille
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Strasbourg 3-1 Nantes
Sunday, October 27 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, October 27 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Goals
for
for
11
Last Game: Marseille 0-3 PSG
Sunday, October 27 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, October 27 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Goals
for
for
21
We said: Nantes 1-3 Marseille
While Marseille's tally of four away wins is the second-most in Europe's big five leagues in 2024, no team in the Premier League, Ligue 1, Serie A, La Liga or Bundesliga has fewer than Nantes' one home victory in the whole of 2024. Another miserable Beaujoire outing surely awaits for the Canaris faithful, whose side are adept at finding the back of the net, but Marseille's rampant attackers will surely expose their defensive vulnerabilities time and time again. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 47.58%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 27.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Marseille |
27.71% ( 0.07) | 24.7% ( 0.25) | 47.58% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 55.13% ( -0.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.52% ( -1.02) | 47.48% ( 1.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.31% ( -0.96) | 69.7% ( 0.96) |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.93% ( -0.48) | 31.08% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.61% ( -0.56) | 67.39% ( 0.57) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.99% ( -0.54) | 20.02% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.79% ( -0.88) | 52.21% ( 0.88) |
| Score Analysis |
Nantes 27.71%
Marseille 47.58%
Draw 24.7%
| Nantes | Draw | Marseille |
| 1-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 6.83% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.91% Total : 27.71% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.7% | 0-1 @ 10% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 9.41% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 8.05% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 5.04% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 4.32% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.87% Total : 47.58% |
How you voted: Nantes vs Marseille
Nantes
6.6%Draw
17.9%Marseille
75.5%106
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Marseille
2-0
Nantes
Sep 1, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 4
Nantes
1-1
Marseille
Feb 1, 2023 6pm
