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Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
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Lille
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Lyon
Marseille
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Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
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Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 25
Mar 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Nantes

Marseille
2 - 0
Nantes

Aubameyang (17', 79')
Aubameyang (74'), Mbemba (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Douglas (27'), Amian (45+1'), Gourvennec (80'), Sissoko (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Marseille 4-0 Villarreal
Thursday, March 7 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Nantes 0-2 Metz
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 3-1 Nantes

Enjoying a new lease of life under the expert tutelage of Gasset, Marseille will be confident of securing a third-straight Ligue 1 win on Sunday night. Nantes' survival aims took a hit against Metz last time out, and the Orange Velodrome is not an ideal location to bounce back with a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 67.47%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 13.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Marseille in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Marseille.

Result
MarseilleDrawNantes
67.47% (0.43599999999999 0.44) 19.1% (-0.149 -0.15) 13.43% (-0.289 -0.29)
Both teams to score 50.3% (-0.303 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.59% (0.015999999999998 0.02)42.41% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.18% (0.015000000000001 0.02)64.82% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.4% (0.122 0.12)11.6% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.41% (0.264 0.26)36.59% (-0.267 -0.27)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.9% (-0.423 -0.42)43.09% (0.42100000000001 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.63% (-0.357 -0.36)79.37% (0.35300000000001 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 67.45%
    Nantes 13.43%
    Draw 19.1%
MarseilleDrawNantes
2-0 @ 11.59% (0.1 0.1)
1-0 @ 10.76% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 8.33% (0.116 0.12)
3-1 @ 7.01% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.49% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
4-1 @ 3.78% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.93% (0.045 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.63% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.59% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 67.45%
1-1 @ 9.07% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-0 @ 5% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 4.11% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 19.1%
0-1 @ 4.21% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-2 @ 3.82% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-2 @ 1.77% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.15% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.07% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 13.43%

How you voted: Marseille vs Nantes

Marseille
92.9%
Draw
5.4%
Nantes
1.8%
56
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 4
Nantes
1-1
Marseille
Mohamed (39')
Aristouy (69')
Meupiyou (9')
Sarr (4')
Aubameyang (26'), Rongier (70')
Feb 1, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 21
Nantes
0-2
Marseille
Victor (57' og.), Ounahi (90+3')
Aug 20, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 3
Marseille
2-1
Nantes
Mbemba (70'), Pallois (82' og.)
Rongier (55'), Gigot (60'), Lopez (76'), Veretout (90+3')
Gigot (76')
Blas (78' pen.)
Guessand (59')
Apr 20, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 33
Marseille
3-2
Nantes
Payet (39' pen., 55' pen.), Harit (75')
Peres (35'), Milik (87')
Girotto (26'), Coco (41')
Blas (32'), Coco (45'), Da Silva (81'), Appiah (90+1')
Coco (90+3')
Dec 1, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 16
Nantes
0-1
Marseille

Pallois (14'), Lafont (78')
Pallois (32')
Gerson (30')
Gerson (71'), Gonzalez (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco32187762422061
3Brest32169749331657
4Lille311510645271855
5Nice31149836251151
6Lens32147114234849
7Rennes32129115143845
8Marseille31111194738944
9Lyon31135134251-944
10Montpellier HSCMontpellier321011114144-340
11Toulouse321010123942-340
12Reims31117133845-740
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3299143547-1236
14NantesNantes3296172949-2033
15Le HavreLe Havre32711143342-932
16Metz3285193454-2029
17Lorient3268183763-2626
18Clermont32510172654-2825


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