Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 46.86%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Strasbourg | Draw | Marseille |
28.51% ( -0.35) | 24.63% ( -0.09) | 46.86% ( 0.44) |
Both teams to score 55.95% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.32% ( 0.17) | 46.67% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.06% ( 0.16) | 68.94% ( -0.16) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.93% ( -0.17) | 30.07% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.8% ( -0.2) | 66.2% ( 0.2) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80% ( 0.26) | 19.99% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.82% ( 0.41) | 52.18% ( -0.41) |
Score Analysis |
Strasbourg | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.16% Total : 28.51% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.62% | 0-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.36% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.79% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 5.02% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.89% Total : 46.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 19 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 49 | 17 | 32 | 47 |
2 | Marseille | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 37 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Nice | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Lille | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 32 |
6 | Lyon | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 30 |
7 | Lens | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 30 |
8 | Brest | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 28 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 27 |
10 | Toulouse | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 25 |
11 | Auxerre | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 23 |
12 | Reims | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 22 |
13 | Angers | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 22 |
14 | NantesNantes | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 18 |
15 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 18 |
16 | Rennes | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 17 |
17 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 15 |
18 | Le HavreLe Havre | 19 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 38 | -24 | 13 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |