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Nantes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 10
Nov 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Marseille

Nantes
1 - 2
Marseille

Kadewere (39')
Pallois (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Maupay (24'), Greenwood (61')
Balerdi (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Strasbourg 3-1 Nantes
Sunday, October 27 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 0-3 PSG
Sunday, October 27 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nantes 1-3 Marseille

While Marseille's tally of four away wins is the second-most in Europe's big five leagues in 2024, no team in the Premier League, Ligue 1, Serie A, La Liga or Bundesliga has fewer than Nantes' one home victory in the whole of 2024. Another miserable Beaujoire outing surely awaits for the Canaris faithful, whose side are adept at finding the back of the net, but Marseille's rampant attackers will surely expose their defensive vulnerabilities time and time again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 47.58%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 27.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
NantesDrawMarseille
27.71% (0.067999999999998 0.07) 24.7% (0.247 0.25) 47.58% (-0.312 -0.31)
Both teams to score 55.13% (-0.759 -0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.52% (-1.024 -1.02)47.48% (1.027 1.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.31% (-0.956 -0.96)69.7% (0.95899999999999 0.96)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.93% (-0.48099999999999 -0.48)31.08% (0.485 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.61% (-0.565 -0.56)67.39% (0.569 0.57)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.99% (-0.53700000000001 -0.54)20.02% (0.54 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.79% (-0.875 -0.88)52.21% (0.878 0.88)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 27.71%
    Marseille 47.58%
    Draw 24.7%
NantesDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 7.27% (0.213 0.21)
2-1 @ 6.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 4.25% (0.069 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.66% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.66% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 27.71%
1-1 @ 11.69% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 6.22% (0.262 0.26)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.7%
0-1 @ 10% (0.253 0.25)
1-2 @ 9.41% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.05% (0.075 0.08)
1-3 @ 5.04% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-3 @ 4.32% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.95% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-4 @ 2.03% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.74% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.19% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 47.58%

How you voted: Nantes vs Marseille

Nantes
6.6%
Draw
17.9%
Marseille
75.5%
106
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Marseille
2-0
Nantes
Aubameyang (17', 79')
Aubameyang (74'), Mbemba (90+2')

Douglas (27'), Amian (45+1'), Gourvennec (80'), Sissoko (90+6')
Sep 1, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 4
Nantes
1-1
Marseille
Mohamed (39')
Aristouy (69')
Meupiyou (9')
Sarr (4')
Aubameyang (26'), Rongier (70')
Feb 1, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 21
Nantes
0-2
Marseille
Victor (57' og.), Ounahi (90+3')
Aug 20, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 3
Marseille
2-1
Nantes
Mbemba (70'), Pallois (82' og.)
Rongier (55'), Gigot (60'), Lopez (76'), Veretout (90+3')
Gigot (76')
Blas (78' pen.)
Guessand (59')
Apr 20, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 33
Marseille
3-2
Nantes
Payet (39' pen., 55' pen.), Harit (75')
Peres (35'), Milik (87')
Girotto (26'), Coco (41')
Blas (32'), Coco (45'), Da Silva (81'), Appiah (90+1')
Coco (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


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