Liga MX | Gameweek 6
Feb 10, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes
Necaxa3 - 3Toluca
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Toluca.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Necaxa | Draw | Toluca |
31.95% ( 0.09) | 24.89% ( 0.07) | 43.17% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 57.01% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.86% ( -0.27) | 46.14% ( 0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.57% ( -0.26) | 68.44% ( 0.27) |
Necaxa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.54% ( -0.08) | 27.46% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.05% ( -0.1) | 62.95% ( 0.1) |
Toluca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.6% ( -0.19) | 21.4% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.6% ( -0.29) | 54.4% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Necaxa 31.95%
Toluca 43.17%
Draw 24.89%
Necaxa | Draw | Toluca |
1-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.26% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 31.95% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.89% | 0-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.99% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.64% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.54% Total : 43.17% |
Head to Head
Jul 2, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 1
Toluca
0-0
Necaxa
Apr 30, 2023 7pm
Jul 2, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 1
Necaxa
1-3
Toluca
Mar 5, 2022 1am
Gameweek 9
Necaxa
0-1
Toluca
Oct 21, 2021 1am
Gameweek 14
Toluca
1-1
Necaxa
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Cruz AzulCruz Azul | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 39 | 12 | 27 | 42 |
2 | TolucaToluca | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 38 | 16 | 22 | 35 |
3 | Tigres | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 34 |
4 | PumasPumas | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 31 |
5 | MonterreyMonterrey | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Atletico San Luis | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 30 |
7 | Club TijuanaTijuana | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 29 |
8 | Club AmericaAmerica | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 27 |
9 | CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 25 |
10 | Atlas | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
11 | Club Leon | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Juarez | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 36 | -14 | 17 |
13 | NecaxaNecaxa | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 15 |
14 | MazatlanMazatlan | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 14 |
15 | PueblaPuebla | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 14 |
16 | PachucaPachuca | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 13 |
17 | QueretaroQueretaro | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 31 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Santos LagunaSantos Laguna | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 30 | -18 | 10 |
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