Premier League | Gameweek 37
May 11, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. James' Park
Newcastle1 - 1Brighton
The Match
Match Report
Newcastle United's European aspirations suffer a slight blow in a 1-1 Premier League draw with Brighton & Hove Albion at St James' Park.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Burnley 1-4 Newcastle
Saturday, May 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, May 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 1-0 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 5 at 2pm in Premier League
Sunday, May 5 at 2pm in Premier League
Goals
for
for
53
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 55.58%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 24.93% and a draw had a probability of 19.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.79%) and 2-0 (5.54%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (5.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
55.58% ( 0.08) | 19.49% ( -0.07) | 24.93% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 71.5% ( 0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
