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Premier League | Gameweek 28
Mar 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
St James' Park
Brighton logo

Newcastle
2 - 1
Brighton

Fraser (12'), Schar (14')
Joelinton (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Dunk (55')
Duffy (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle 2-0 Arsenal
Monday, May 16 at 8pm in Premier League
Next Game: Burnley vs. Newcastle
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leeds 1-1 Brighton
Sunday, May 15 at 2pm in Premier League
Next Game: Brighton vs. West Ham
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Newcastle United 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion

There have been 22 Premier League draws in games involving Newcastle and Brighton so far this season, including the reverse fixture between the two teams, and another closely-fought contest could be on the cards this weekend. The Seagulls will likely make themselves difficult to break down but we can see the Magpies securing at least a point on home soil to maintain their unbeaten start to 2022. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-0 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
35.11%26.74%38.14%
Both teams to score 51.67%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.62%53.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.08%74.92%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.99%29.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.09%64.91%
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.79%27.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.37%62.62%
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 35.11%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 38.14%
    Draw 26.74%
Newcastle UnitedDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 9.77%
2-1 @ 7.87%
2-0 @ 6.04%
3-1 @ 3.25%
3-0 @ 2.49%
3-2 @ 2.11%
4-1 @ 1%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 35.11%
1-1 @ 12.71%
0-0 @ 7.89%
2-2 @ 5.12%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 10.27%
1-2 @ 8.28%
0-2 @ 6.69%
1-3 @ 3.59%
0-3 @ 2.9%
2-3 @ 2.22%
1-4 @ 1.17%
0-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 38.14%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Brighton

Newcastle United
61.7%
Draw
26.7%
Brighton & Hove Albion
11.7%
180
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2021 5.30pm
Brighton
1-1
Newcastle
Trossard (24' pen.)
Lallana (75'), Bissouma (84'), Maupay (84')
Sanchez (90+2')
Hayden (66')
Lascelles (12'), Murphy (60'), Shelvey (69'), Wilson (73')
Mar 20, 2021 8pm
Sep 20, 2020 2pm
Newcastle
0-3
Brighton

Shelvey (12'), Lewis (25'), Lascelles (34')
Maupay (4' pen., 7'), Connolly (83')
Bissouma (89')
Jul 20, 2020 6pm
Brighton
0-0
Newcastle

Bissouma (23'), Gross (26'), Stephens (46'), Webster (87')

Ritchie (31'), Rose (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool20145148202847
2Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest21125430201041
3Arsenal20117239182140
4Chelsea21107441261537
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
6Manchester CityMan City2110563829935
7Bournemouth219753225734
8Aston Villa209563032-232
9Fulham217953230230
10Brentford218494037328
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2061043029128
12West Ham UnitedWest Ham217592741-1426
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs20731042301224
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd206592328-523
15Crystal Palace204972128-721
16Everton193881525-1017
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2044123145-1416
18Ipswich TownIpswich2037102035-1516
19Leicester CityLeicester2035122344-2114
20Southampton2013161244-326


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