We said: Niger 0-1 Sudan
Given Niger's struggles in front of goal, Sudan will fancy their chances of keeping their hosts at bay, having recorded clean sheets in three of their four AFCON qualifiers.
We can see the visitors just about doing enough to come away with maximum points in the end.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudan win with a probability of 36.79%. A win for Niger had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sudan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.54%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Niger win was 1-0 (11.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.