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Championship header 2

League One
Northampton Town
League One | Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Bolton logo

Northampton
2 - 4
Bolton

Eaves (90+1'), Guthrie (90+3')
McGeehan (10'), Chouchane (37'), Roberts (67'), Pinnock (87')
FT(HT: 0-2)
McAtee (6'), Thomason (23'), Toal (60'), Charles (83')
Thomason (17'), Schon (33'), Matete (90+2'), Williams (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Northampton 0-2 Mansfield
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League One

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Crawley 0-2 Bolton
Saturday, September 28 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 0-1 Bolton Wanderers

 Northampton Town are struggling at present and have historically fared poorly in this fixture – this, coupled with Bolton's recent upturn in form, leads us to predict a victory for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 52.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 23.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-0 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawBolton Wanderers
23.18% (-2.74 -2.74) 24.4% (-0.166 -0.17) 52.42% (2.904 2.9)
Both teams to score 51.72% (-2.342 -2.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.1% (-1.71 -1.71)49.9% (1.705 1.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.11% (-1.545 -1.55)71.89% (1.543 1.54)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.85% (-3.301 -3.3)36.15% (3.297 3.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.06% (-3.516 -3.52)72.93% (3.51 3.51)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81% (0.491 0.49)19% (-0.495 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.45% (0.814 0.81)50.55% (-0.818 -0.82)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 23.18%
    Bolton Wanderers 52.41%
    Draw 24.4%
Northampton TownDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 6.99% (-0.141 -0.14)
2-1 @ 5.9% (-0.584 -0.58)
2-0 @ 3.56% (-0.413 -0.41)
3-1 @ 2% (-0.405 -0.41)
3-2 @ 1.66% (-0.305 -0.31)
3-0 @ 1.21% (-0.266 -0.27)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 23.18%
1-1 @ 11.6% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.87% (0.464 0.46)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.401 -0.4)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.152 -0.15)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.4%
0-1 @ 11.4% (0.93 0.93)
1-2 @ 9.64% (0.109 0.11)
0-2 @ 9.47% (0.911 0.91)
1-3 @ 5.34% (0.142 0.14)
0-3 @ 5.24% (0.578 0.58)
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.177 -0.18)
1-4 @ 2.22% (0.092 0.09)
0-4 @ 2.18% (0.27 0.27)
2-4 @ 1.13% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 52.41%

How you voted: Northampton vs Bolton

Northampton Town
12.0%
Draw
4.0%
Bolton Wanderers
84.0%
25
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 32
Northampton
1-1
Bolton
Bowie (2')
Mendes Gomes (74')
Adeboyejo (23'), Sheehan (54'), Jones (90+1')
Evatt (24'), Thomason (27')
> Preview
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Bolton
2-1
Northampton
Charles (8'), Williams (16')
Hoskins (66')
Hondermarck (86')
Mar 18, 2017 3pm
Bolton
2-1
Northampton
Le Fondre (75' pen.), Morais (82')
Smith (57')
Richards (17'), Buchanan (51')
Nov 26, 2016 3pm
Northampton
0-1
Bolton

O'Toole (71')
Clough (25')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Texans
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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