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League One | Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Exeter City

Northampton
2 - 1
Exeter

Morton (65'), McGeehan (78')
McGowan (55'), Mbete (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Crama (8')
Francis (35'), Cole (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Exeter City

There has only been one draw in the last seven league meetings between these two sides, and both teams won the away fixture during the 2023-24 campaign. It would not be a surprise to see a home or an away success here, but we just have a feeling that the points will be shared in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 50.02%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Northampton TownDrawExeter City
25.33% (-1.296 -1.3) 24.65% (-0.554 -0.55) 50.02% (1.85 1.85)
Both teams to score 53.26% (0.587 0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.02% (1.32 1.32)48.98% (-1.318 -1.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.94% (1.184 1.18)71.06% (-1.183 -1.18)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.24% (-0.352 -0.35)33.75% (0.354 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.58% (-0.386 -0.39)70.41% (0.387 0.39)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.4% (1.304 1.3)19.6% (-1.302 -1.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.46% (2.078 2.08)51.54% (-2.078 -2.08)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 25.33%
    Exeter City 50.02%
    Draw 24.64%
Northampton TownDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 7.19% (-0.47 -0.47)
2-1 @ 6.36% (-0.213 -0.21)
2-0 @ 3.9% (-0.295 -0.3)
3-1 @ 2.3% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.88% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.41% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 25.33%
1-1 @ 11.7% (-0.28 -0.28)
0-0 @ 6.62% (-0.365 -0.37)
2-2 @ 5.18% (0.038 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.64%
0-1 @ 10.78% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-2 @ 9.54% (0.161 0.16)
0-2 @ 8.79% (0.232 0.23)
1-3 @ 5.18% (0.289 0.29)
0-3 @ 4.77% (0.309 0.31)
2-3 @ 2.81% (0.13 0.13)
1-4 @ 2.11% (0.197 0.2)
0-4 @ 1.94% (0.197 0.2)
2-4 @ 1.15% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 50.02%

Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 45
Northampton
1-2
Exeter
Guthrie (73')
Guthrie (45')
Harris (20'), Aimson (83')
Woods (44')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Exeter
0-2
Northampton

Jules (8')
Hoskins (20'), Brough (90+2')
Brady (9'), Bowie (34'), Brough (41'), Sherring (44'), Odimayo (62'), Monthe (84')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Northampton
1-1
Exeter
Pinnock (29')
Guthrie (87')
Nombe (71')
Dieng (20'), Sparkes (54'), Brown (68'), Collins (88'), Key (90+4')
Dec 7, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Exeter
1-2
Northampton
Amond (50')
Key (56'), Caprice (78')
Sowerby (34'), Hoskins (74')
McWilliams (35'), Guthrie (71')
Dec 8, 2020 7pm
Second Round
Exeter
1-2
Northampton
Atangana (51')
Rose (22'), Ashley-Seal (82')
Rose (40'), Smith (51'), McWilliams (86'), Horsfall (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Reading199463028231
7Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
8Barnsley208662926330
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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