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League One | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Exeter City

Bolton
0 - 2
Exeter


Santos (23'), Johnston (66'), Yfeko (90+1'), Cogley (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Doyle (34'), Alli (49')
Sweeney (9'), Niskanen (53'), Whitworth (69'), Cole (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-2 Bolton
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Exeter City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Peterborough
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Exeter City

 Neither side have any momentum heading into this contest based on their recent League One fixtures, which could make for a low-key affair. However, we are backing the home side to come through, potentially through a late goal when Exeter are settling for a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawExeter City
45.22% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 24.56% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 30.22% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)
Both teams to score 57.29% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.6% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)45.4% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.26% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)67.73% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.82% (0.012 0.01)20.18% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.53% (0.016999999999996 0.02)52.47% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.77% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)28.23% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.07% (-0.058 -0.06)63.93% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 45.22%
    Exeter City 30.22%
    Draw 24.56%
Bolton WanderersDrawExeter City
2-1 @ 9.23% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 9.12% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.3% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.92% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 3.89% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.97% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 45.22%
1-1 @ 11.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.84% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 5.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.56%
1-2 @ 7.29% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.2% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.56% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.46% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.92% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 30.22%

How you voted: Bolton vs Exeter

Bolton Wanderers
81.0%
Draw
14.3%
Exeter City
4.8%
21
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 37
Exeter
2-2
Bolton
Cox (46', 49')
Aitchison (73'), Sweeney (90+7')
Maghoma (33'), Toal (87')
> Preview
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Bolton
7-0
Exeter
Iredale (34'), Adeboyejo (43'), Maghoma (55'), Charles (63', 74'), Dempsey (86'), N'Lundulu (90+2')

Jules (18')
> Preview
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Exeter
0-1
Bolton
Bradley (27')
> Preview
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Bolton
2-0
Exeter
Bradley (8'), Charles (26')
> Preview
May 1, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 45
Bolton
1-2
Exeter
Jones (15')
Baptiste (32'), Williams (37')
Williams (49'), Sweeney (90+6')
Key (27'), Hartridge (29'), Willmott (42'), Taylor (79'), Sparkes (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe24156350262451
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield23135536191744
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2311483534137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Stevenage238781820-231
14Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
15Blackpool247983235-330
16Rotherham UnitedRotherham237792123-228
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814
> League One Full Table


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