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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Exeter City |
45.22% ( 0.05) | 24.56% ( -0) | 30.22% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 57.29% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.6% ( -0.03) | 45.4% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.26% ( -0.02) | 67.73% ( 0.03) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.82% ( 0.01) | 20.18% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.53% ( 0.02) | 52.47% ( -0.02) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.77% ( -0.05) | 28.23% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.07% ( -0.06) | 63.93% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Exeter City |
2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.92% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.88% Total : 45.22% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.56% | 1-2 @ 7.29% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.2% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 30.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 36 | 18 | 18 | 38 |
2 | Wrexham | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 11 | 15 | 34 |
3 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 33 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 30 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 29 |
6 | Barnsley | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 27 |
7 | Reading | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 27 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 27 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 26 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 23 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 21 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 21 |
15 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 20 |
16 | Blackpool | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 20 |
17 | Stevenage | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 16 |
21 | Leyton Orient | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
24 | Burton Albion | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |