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League One | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Exeter City

Bolton
0 - 2
Exeter


Santos (23'), Johnston (66'), Yfeko (90+1'), Cogley (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Doyle (34'), Alli (49')
Sweeney (9'), Niskanen (53'), Whitworth (69'), Cole (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Peterborough
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Exeter City

Neither side have any momentum heading into this contest based on their recent League One fixtures, which could make for a low-key affair. However, we are backing the home side to come through, potentially through a late goal when Exeter are settling for a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawExeter City
45.22% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 24.56% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 30.22% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)
Both teams to score 57.29% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.6% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)45.4% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.26% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)67.73% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.82% (0.012 0.01)20.18% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.53% (0.016999999999996 0.02)52.47% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.77% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)28.23% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.07% (-0.058 -0.06)63.93% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 45.22%
    Exeter City 30.22%
    Draw 24.56%
Bolton WanderersDrawExeter City
2-1 @ 9.23% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 9.12% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.3% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.92% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 3.89% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.97% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 45.22%
1-1 @ 11.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.84% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 5.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.56%
1-2 @ 7.29% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.2% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.56% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.46% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.92% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 30.22%

How you voted: Bolton vs Exeter

Bolton Wanderers
81.0%
Draw
14.3%
Exeter City
4.8%
21
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 37
Exeter
2-2
Bolton
Cox (46', 49')
Aitchison (73'), Sweeney (90+7')
Maghoma (33'), Toal (87')
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Bolton
7-0
Exeter
Iredale (34'), Adeboyejo (43'), Maghoma (55'), Charles (63', 74'), Dempsey (86'), N'Lundulu (90+2')

Jules (18')
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Exeter
0-1
Bolton
Bradley (27')
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Bolton
2-0
Exeter
Bradley (8'), Charles (26')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 45
Bolton
1-2
Exeter
Jones (15')
Baptiste (32'), Williams (37')
Williams (49'), Sweeney (90+6')
Key (27'), Hartridge (29'), Willmott (42'), Taylor (79'), Sparkes (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe16122236181838
2Wrexham17104326111534
3Birmingham CityBirmingham15103228151333
4Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield1692525151029
6Barnsley177642622427
7Reading168352624227
8Bolton WanderersBolton168352526-127
9Lincoln CityLincoln177552321226
10Mansfield TownMansfield157352017324
11Exeter CityExeter167271415-123
12Charlton AthleticCharlton166461717022
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
14Bristol Rovers176381723-621
15Wigan AthleticWigan165561513220
16Blackpool175572430-620
17Stevenage165471116-519
18Northampton TownNorthampton174671923-418
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient164391420-615
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge163491425-1113
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion1615101529-148


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